BAX Baxter International Inc
$24.15 · +1.03% vs $23.90 close · scored 15:49 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 64/100
What changed
The read is broadly unchanged.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 64/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+58.3 composite┆ +58.8 yesterday (−0.5) +95.7 vs a week ago
Evidence
64 / 100 · top 28% today
920 contracts · quality 81 · stability 0.71
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
What traded today · weight 62%
+40.3 pts
759 calls · 82.5% 161 puts
bias +65.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+18.0 pts
4,761 call OI · 73.7% 1,696 put OI
bias +47.5 × 0.38
Equals
+58.3
69% of the score comes from today’s volume, 31% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −3.86% · tape +53.5 · corr -0.07
◆ −99.9 in a day ▼ low −37.7 ● peak +87 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-23 09-30 10-07 10-09 $27 $23 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 3.86% while the tape has firmed 53.5 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 64 (72th pct) · quality 81 · 920 contracts
note Jumpy 0.71 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led BAX’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.16, n=44)
note Our record on BAX is mixed 39% hit rate on 411 closed calls · payoff 1.16×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $24.15 highlighted. The $25 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 2,667). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
9 Oct · 4h
$24.15 → $24.15
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$23.90 → $24.15
+1.03% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$23.90 → $24.15
+1.03% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$23.90 → $23.90
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 172 of these 411 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Mixed Next report —
P/E — · fwd 11.58 Beta 0.669
52w $15.73–$30.00 IV rank —
Ask about BAX answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from −37 to +58 this week?
FlowDesk
It moved over several days. The composite was +19.3 on 7 Oct, then rose to +58.7 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $23.49 to $23.97. It’s at +58.3 now.+40.3 from volume and +18.0 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 15:49 method · 62/38
Compare with MDT Why is our BAX record what it is? What’s the $25 wall?
What our data projects
−0.34 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#508 of 635 · helped by quality, call/put volume tilt. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $25 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Baxter International Inc · Health Care
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+58.3 ┆ +58.8 yday evidence
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
Why it’s +58
+40.3 volume · 83% calls+18.0 OI · 74% calls
45 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −99.9 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-23 09-30 10-07 10-09 $27 $23 Price −3.86%, tape +53.5 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 64 (72th pct) · quality 81 · 920 contracts
note Jumpy 0.71 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led BAX’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.16, n=44)
What traded today · 62%
+40.3 pts
759 calls · 161 puts · bias +65.0
What’s on the books · 38%
+18.0 pts
4,761 call OI · 1,696 put OI · bias +47.5
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −3.86% · tape +53.5 · corr -0.07
◆ −99.9 in a day ▼ low −37.7 ● peak +87 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-23 09-30 10-07 10-09 $27 $23 Over 30 days, price has fallen 3.86% while the tape has firmed 53.5 points. The two are drifting apart.
39% hit rate · 411 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$24.15 → $24.15
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$23.90 → $24.15
+1.03% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$23.90 → $24.15
+1.03% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$23.90 → $23.90
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $25 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about BAX
Why did the score rise from −37 to +58 this week?
It moved over several days. The composite was +19.3 on 7 Oct, then rose to +58.7 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $23.49 to $23.97. It’s at +58.3 now.+40.3 from volume and +18.0 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 15:49 method · 62/38
Compare with MDT Why is our BAX record what it is? What’s the $25 wall?