BILL
BILL
$50.21 · +0.00% vs $50.21 close · scored 20:39 · stale
Decision brief
BEARISH · 54/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 54/100
For the read
options volume favours puts
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Mildly bearish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−17.4 composite
Evidence
54 / 100 · top 37% today
1,330 contracts · quality 77 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.99% · n=3,167
What traded today · weight 62%
−17.3 pts
479 calls · 36.0%851 puts
bias −28.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+0.0 pts
2,595 call OI · 50.0%2,599 put OI
bias −0.1 × 0.38
Equals
−17.4
100% of the score comes from today’s volume, 0% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring BILL today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lotconfidence 54 (63th pct) · quality 77 · 1,330 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
passThis kind of read has paidmildly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −0.99% avg, n=3,167
noteToo few of our calls checked1 closed call on BILL
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $50.21 highlighted. The $43 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 1,205). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05Our record on BILL
Proof
22 Oct · 4h
$50.21 → $50.21
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
BILL
Mildly bearish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−17.4evidence 54
has paid −0.99% · n=3,167
Why it’s −17
−17.3 volume · 36% calls+0.0 OI · 50% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lot
confidence 54 (63th pct) · quality 77 · 1,330 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
noteToo few of our calls checked
1 closed call on BILL
What traded today · 62%
−17.3 pts
479 calls · 851 puts · bias −28.0
What’s on the books · 38%
+0.0 pts
2,595 call OI · 2,599 put OI · bias −0.1
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
22 Oct · 4h
$50.21 → $50.21
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bullishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $43 wallprice · below
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about BILL
Not enough tape history on BILL for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.