BMEA Biomea Fusion Inc
$1.40 · +2.19% vs $1.37 close · scored 15:48 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 65/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 65/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+61.6 composite+85.6 vs a week ago
Evidence
65 / 100 · top 25% today
3,133 contracts · quality 60 · stability 0.00
has paid +0.01% · n=91,227
What traded today · weight 62%
+29.5 pts
2,311 calls · 73.8% 822 puts
bias +47.5 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+32.1 pts
67,383 call OI · 92.2% 5,666 put OI
bias +84.5 × 0.38
Equals
+61.6
48% of the score comes from today’s volume, 52% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −25.63% · tape −32.2 · corr 0.10
● peak +97 ▼ low −28.7 ◆ −121.3 in a day 08-28 09-04 09-11 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-09 $2 $1 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 25.63% while the tape has faded 32.2 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 65 (75th pct) · quality 60 · 3,133 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → +0.01% avg, n=91,227
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led BMEA’s tape by 2 days (r=0.28, n=46)
against Our record on BMEA is poor 32% hit rate on 737 closed calls · payoff 2.28×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $1.40 highlighted. The $2.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 52,395). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on BMEA Proof 9 Oct · 4h
$1.40 → $1.40
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$1.39 → $1.40
+0.72% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$1.37 → $1.40
+2.19% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$1.37 → $1.40
+2.19% hit
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 373 of these 737 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E — Beta -0.247
52w $0.87–$2.99 IV rank —
Ask about BMEA answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from −24 to +62 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was −24.0 on 2 Oct, then rose to +56.3 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $1.30 to $1.29. It’s at +61.6 now.+29.5 from volume and +32.1 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 47 pts stock_scores · 15:48 method · 62/38
Compare with PURR Why is our BMEA record what it is? What’s the $2.5 wall?
What our data projects
+0.01 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#287 of 724 · helped by call/put volume tilt, confidence, volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $2.5 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Biomea Fusion Inc · Biotechnology
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+61.6 evidence
has paid +0.01% · n=91,227
Why it’s +62
+29.5 volume · 74% calls+32.1 OI · 92% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −121.3 08-28 09-04 09-11 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-09 $2 $1 Price −25.63%, tape −32.2 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 65 (75th pct) · quality 60 · 3,133 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led BMEA’s tape by 2 days (r=0.28, n=46)
against Our record on BMEA is poor 32% hit rate on 737 closed calls · payoff 2.28×
What traded today · 62%
+29.5 pts
2,311 calls · 822 puts · bias +47.5
What’s on the books · 38%
+32.1 pts
67,383 call OI · 5,666 put OI · bias +84.5
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −25.63% · tape −32.2 · corr 0.10
● peak +97 ▼ low −28.7 ◆ −121.3 in a day 08-28 09-04 09-11 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-09 $2 $1 Over 30 days, price has fallen 25.63% while the tape has faded 32.2 points. They agree.
32% hit rate · 737 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$1.40 → $1.40
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$1.39 → $1.40
+0.72% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$1.37 → $1.40
+2.19% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$1.37 → $1.40
+2.19% hit
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $2.5 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about BMEA
Why did the score rise from −24 to +62 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was −24.0 on 2 Oct, then rose to +56.3 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $1.30 to $1.29. It’s at +61.6 now.+29.5 from volume and +32.1 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 47 pts stock_scores · 15:48 method · 62/38
Compare with PURR Why is our BMEA record what it is? What’s the $2.5 wall?