BSX Boston Scientific Corp
$42.42 · +0.90% vs $42.04 close · scored 15:43 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 66/100
What changed
Composite weakened 4.9 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 66/100
For the read
signal has been stable
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Neutral, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−8.7 composite┆ −3.8 yesterday (−4.9) +2.4 vs a week ago
Evidence
66 / 100 · top 22% today
2,268 contracts · quality 86 · stability 0.78
neutral · +0.46% · n=12,762
What traded today · weight 62%
−6.4 pts
1,017 calls · 44.8% 1,251 puts
bias −10.3 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−2.2 pts
30,986 call OI · 47.0% 34,885 put OI
bias −5.9 × 0.38
Equals
−8.7
74% of the score comes from today’s volume, 26% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −6.54% · tape −66.3 · corr 0.20
▼ low −33.7 ● peak +59 ◆ −90.5 in a day 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-09 $49 $42 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 6.54% while the tape has faded 66.3 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 66 (78th pct) · quality 86 · 2,268 contracts
note Jumpy 0.78 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 39
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · low liquidity → +0.46% avg, n=12,762
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led BSX’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.30, n=44)
against Our record on BSX is poor 8% hit rate on 903 closed calls · payoff 0.55×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $42.42 highlighted. The $40 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 16,843). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
9 Oct · 4h
$42.42 → $42.42
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$42.04 → $42.42
+0.90% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$42.48 → $42.42
−0.14% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$42.04 → $42.42
+0.90% miss
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 168 of these 903 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 16.89 · fwd 12.99 Beta 0.591
52w $41.94–$105.65 IV rank —
Ask about BSX answers from FlowDesk data only
You
What is behind today’s −8.7?
FlowDesk
The composite has held within 2.4 points of −8.7 across the last 8 sessions.−6.4 from volume and −2.2 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 15:43 method · 62/38
Compare with MDT Why is our BSX record what it is? What’s the $40 wall?
What our data projects
−0.20 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#402 of 635 · helped by quality, tape composite, price momentum (5 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $40 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Boston Scientific Corp · Health Care
Neutral, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−8.7 ┆ −3.8 yday evidence
neutral · +0.46% · n=12,762
Why it’s −9
−6.4 volume · 45% calls−2.2 OI · 47% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −90.5 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-09 $49 $42 Price −6.54%, tape −66.3 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 66 (78th pct) · quality 86 · 2,268 contracts
note Jumpy 0.78 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 39
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · low liquidity → +0.46% avg, n=12,762
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led BSX’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.30, n=44)
What traded today · 62%
−6.4 pts
1,017 calls · 1,251 puts · bias −10.3
What’s on the books · 38%
−2.2 pts
30,986 call OI · 34,885 put OI · bias −5.9
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −6.54% · tape −66.3 · corr 0.20
▼ low −33.7 ● peak +59 ◆ −90.5 in a day 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-09 $49 $42 Over 30 days, price has fallen 6.54% while the tape has faded 66.3 points. They agree.
8% hit rate · 903 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$42.42 → $42.42
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$42.04 → $42.42
+0.90% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$42.48 → $42.42
−0.14% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$42.04 → $42.42
+0.90% miss
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $40 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about BSX
What is behind today’s −8.7?
The composite has held within 2.4 points of −8.7 across the last 8 sessions.−6.4 from volume and −2.2 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 15:43 method · 62/38
Compare with MDT Why is our BSX record what it is? What’s the $40 wall?