CAN Canaan Inc
$0.31 · +0.00% vs $0.31 close · scored 20:53 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 62/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 62/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+40.5 composite+0.0 vs a week ago
Evidence
62 / 100 · top 17% today
430 contracts · quality 60 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.02% · n=74,862
What traded today · weight 62%
+12.7 pts
259 calls · 60.2% 171 puts
bias +20.5 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+27.8 pts
92,070 call OI · 86.6% 14,296 put OI
bias +73.1 × 0.38
Equals
+40.5
31% of the score comes from today’s volume, 69% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −2.91% · tape −41.1 · corr 0.19
● peak +96 ▼ low −11.6 ◆ −96.8 in a day 09-03 09-09 09-15 09-22 09-28 10-04 10-17 $0 $0 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 2.91% while the tape has faded 41.1 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 62 (83th pct) · quality 60 · 430 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.02% avg, n=74,862
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led CAN’s tape by 3 days (r=0.24, n=36)
against Our record on CAN is poor 14% hit rate on 1073 closed calls · payoff 1.17×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $0.31 highlighted. The $0.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 51,774). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
14%
hit rate · 1073 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$0.31 → $0.31
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$0.29 → $0.31
+5.16% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$0.29 → $0.31
+5.16% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$0.29 → $0.31
+5.16% hit
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 727 of these 1073 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E — Beta 2.539
52w $0.15–$2.22 IV rank —
Ask about CAN answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from −12 to +40 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was −11.6 on 3 Oct, then rose to +46.5 on 4 Oct as the price moved from $0.35 to $0.35. It’s at +40.5 now.+12.7 from volume and +27.8 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 37 pts stock_scores · 20:53 method · 62/38
Compare with SQ Why is our CAN record what it is? What’s the $0.5 wall?
What our data projects
+0.18 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#202 of 1286 · helped by confidence, price momentum (5 days), volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $0.5 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Canaan Inc · Technology
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+40.5 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.02% · n=74,862
Why it’s +40
+12.7 volume · 60% calls+27.8 OI · 87% calls
37 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −96.8 09-03 09-09 09-15 09-22 09-28 10-04 10-17 $0 $0 Price −2.91%, tape −41.1 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 62 (83th pct) · quality 60 · 430 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.02% avg, n=74,862
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led CAN’s tape by 3 days (r=0.24, n=36)
What traded today · 62%
+12.7 pts
259 calls · 171 puts · bias +20.5
What’s on the books · 38%
+27.8 pts
92,070 call OI · 14,296 put OI · bias +73.1
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −2.91% · tape −41.1 · corr 0.19
● peak +96 ▼ low −11.6 ◆ −96.8 in a day 09-03 09-09 09-15 09-22 09-28 10-04 10-17 $0 $0 Over 30 days, price has fallen 2.91% while the tape has faded 41.1 points. They agree.
14% hit rate · 1073 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$0.31 → $0.31
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$0.29 → $0.31
+5.16% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$0.29 → $0.31
+5.16% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$0.29 → $0.31
+5.16% hit
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $0.5 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about CAN
Why did the score rise from −12 to +40 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was −11.6 on 3 Oct, then rose to +46.5 on 4 Oct as the price moved from $0.35 to $0.35. It’s at +40.5 now.+12.7 from volume and +27.8 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 37 pts stock_scores · 20:53 method · 62/38
Compare with SQ Why is our CAN record what it is? What’s the $0.5 wall?