CAPL CAPL
$21.69 · scored 01:45 · stale
Decision brief
BEARISH · 45/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 45/100
For the read
options volume favours puts · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · data quality is weak
The read
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−69.1 composite
Evidence
45 / 100 · top 67% today
108 contracts · quality 37 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.42% · n=13,233
What traded today · weight 62%
−52.8 pts
8 calls · 7.4% 100 puts
bias −85.2 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−16.3 pts
4 call OI · 28.6% 10 put OI
bias −42.9 × 0.38
Equals
−69.1
76% of the score comes from today’s volume, 24% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring CAPL today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 45 (33th pct) · quality 37 · 108 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −0.42% avg, n=13,233
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on CAPL
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $21.69 highlighted. The $20 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 10).
05 Our record on CAPL Proof 21 Oct · 4h
$21.69 → $21.69
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
CAPL
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−69.1 evidence
has paid −0.42% · n=13,233
Why it’s −69
−52.8 volume · 7% calls−16.3 OI · 29% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 45 (33th pct) · quality 37 · 108 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on CAPL
What traded today · 62%
−52.8 pts
8 calls · 100 puts · bias −85.2
What’s on the books · 38%
−16.3 pts
4 call OI · 10 put OI · bias −42.9
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
21 Oct · 4h
$21.69 → $21.69
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $20 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about CAPL
Not enough tape history on CAPL for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our CAPL record what it is? What’s the $20 wall?