CAPR Capricor Therapeutics Inc
$7.83 · −12.51% vs $8.95 close · scored 15:42 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 65/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 65/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+33.5 composite−42.7 vs a week ago
Evidence
65 / 100 · top 26% today
1,523 contracts · quality 72 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
What traded today · weight 62%
+15.6 pts
953 calls · 62.6% 570 puts
bias +25.1 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+17.9 pts
20,604 call OI · 73.6% 7,408 put OI
bias +47.1 × 0.38
Equals
+33.5
47% of the score comes from today’s volume, 53% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −1.21% · tape +50.5 · corr -0.16
▼ low −18.7 ● peak +80 ◆ +73.3 in a day 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-09 $10 $8 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 1.21% while the tape has firmed 50.5 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 65 (74th pct) · quality 72 · 1,523 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
pass Tape has led price tape has led CAPR’s price by 2 days (r=0.26, n=45)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on CAPR is poor 13% hit rate on 860 closed calls · payoff 0.36×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $7.83 highlighted. The $10 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 6,986). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on CAPR Proof 9 Oct · 4h
$7.83 → $7.83
+0.00% flat
4 Oct · 4h
$8.95 → $8.95
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$8.95 → $8.95
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$9.08 → $9.08
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 165 of these 860 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Mixed Next report —
P/E — Beta 0.587
52w $2.96–$40.37 IV rank —
Ask about CAPR answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +76 to +33 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +66.0 on 8 Oct, then fell to +33.5 on 9 Oct as the price moved from $8.95 to $8.95. It’s at +33.5 now.+15.6 from volume and +17.9 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 46 pts stock_scores · 15:42 method · 62/38
Compare with PURR Why is our CAPR record what it is? What’s the $10 wall?
What our data projects
+0.82 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#22 of 635 · helped by price momentum (5 days), last day's move, volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $10 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Capricor Therapeutics Inc · Biotechnology
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+33.5 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
Why it’s +33
+15.6 volume · 63% calls+17.9 OI · 74% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +73.3 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-09 $10 $8 Price −1.21%, tape +50.5 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 65 (74th pct) · quality 72 · 1,523 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
What traded today · 62%
+15.6 pts
953 calls · 570 puts · bias +25.1
What’s on the books · 38%
+17.9 pts
20,604 call OI · 7,408 put OI · bias +47.1
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −1.21% · tape +50.5 · corr -0.16
▼ low −18.7 ● peak +80 ◆ +73.3 in a day 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-09 $10 $8 Over 30 days, price has fallen 1.21% while the tape has firmed 50.5 points. The two are drifting apart.
13% hit rate · 860 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$7.83 → $7.83
+0.00% flat
4 Oct · 4h
$8.95 → $8.95
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$8.95 → $8.95
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$9.08 → $9.08
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $10 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about CAPR
Why did the score drop from +76 to +33 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +66.0 on 8 Oct, then fell to +33.5 on 9 Oct as the price moved from $8.95 to $8.95. It’s at +33.5 now.+15.6 from volume and +17.9 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 46 pts stock_scores · 15:42 method · 62/38
Compare with PURR Why is our CAPR record what it is? What’s the $10 wall?