CEG
CEG
$253.49 · +0.00% vs $253.49 close · scored 02:17 · stale
Decision brief
BEARISH · 67/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 67/100
For the read
options volume favours puts · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−29.7 composite
Evidence
67 / 100 · top 6% today
12,518 contracts · quality 81 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.69% · n=1,013
What traded today · weight 62%
−19.1 pts
4,328 calls · 34.6%8,190 puts
bias −30.9 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−10.6 pts
80,395 call OI · 36.1%142,506 put OI
bias −27.9 × 0.38
Equals
−29.7
64% of the score comes from today’s volume, 36% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring CEG today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lotconfidence 67 (94th pct) · quality 81 · 12,518 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 47
passThis kind of read has paidstrongly bearish · put-heavy · mid liquidity → −0.69% avg, n=1,013
noteToo few of our calls checked1 closed call on CEG
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $253.49 highlighted. The $220 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 22,127). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
26 Oct · 4h
$253.49 → $253.49
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
CEG
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−29.7evidence 67
has paid −0.69% · n=1,013
Why it’s −30
−19.1 volume · 35% calls−10.6 OI · 36% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lot
confidence 67 (94th pct) · quality 81 · 12,518 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 47
noteToo few of our calls checked
1 closed call on CEG
What traded today · 62%
−19.1 pts
4,328 calls · 8,190 puts · bias −30.9
What’s on the books · 38%
−10.6 pts
80,395 call OI · 142,506 put OI · bias −27.9
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
26 Oct · 4h
$253.49 → $253.49
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bullishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $220 wallprice · below
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about CEG
Not enough tape history on CEG for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.