CERT
CERT
$9.45 · scored 02:47 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 52/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 52/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+68.6 composite
Evidence
52 / 100 · top 45% today
52 contracts · quality 48 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.02% · n=74,862
What traded today · weight 62%
+31.0 pts
39 calls · 75.0%13 puts
bias +50.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+37.6 pts
5,771 call OI · 99.4%33 put OI
bias +98.9 × 0.38
Equals
+68.6
45% of the score comes from today’s volume, 55% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring CERT today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lotconfidence 52 (55th pct) · quality 48 · 52 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paidstrongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.02% avg, n=74,862
noteToo few of our calls checked0 closed calls on CERT
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $9.45 highlighted. The $12.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 4,925).
05Our record on CERT
Proof We haven’t checked a call on CERT yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
CERT
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+68.6evidence 52
hasn’t paid −0.02% · n=74,862
Why it’s +69
+31.0 volume · 75% calls+37.6 OI · 99% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lot
confidence 52 (55th pct) · quality 48 · 52 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paid
strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.02% avg, n=74,862
noteToo few of our calls checked
0 closed calls on CERT
What traded today · 62%
+31.0 pts
39 calls · 13 puts · bias +50.0
What’s on the books · 38%
+37.6 pts
5,771 call OI · 33 put OI · bias +98.9
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bearishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $12.5 wallprice · above
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about CERT
Not enough tape history on CERT for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.