CGNT Cognyte Software Ltd
$8.74 · +0.00% vs $8.74 close · scored 22:46 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 52/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 52/100
For the read
options volume favours puts · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+28.1 composite−23.1 vs a week ago
Evidence
52 / 100 · top 45% today
407 contracts · quality 52 · stability 0.00
not enough history
What traded today · weight 62%
−9.9 pts
171 calls · 42.0% 236 puts
bias −16.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+38.0 pts
104 call OI · 100.0% 0 put OI
bias +100.0 × 0.38
Equals
+28.1
21% of the score comes from today’s volume, 79% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +6.85% · tape −68.1 · corr -0.28
▼ low −28.8 ◆ +124.0 in a day ● peak +97 09-06 09-12 09-19 09-25 10-01 10-07 10-14 10-19 $9 $8 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has risen 6.85% while the tape has faded 68.1 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 52 (55th pct) · quality 52 · 407 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
note No calibration for this kind of read yet the matching bucket has too few samples
pass Tape has led price tape has led CGNT’s price by 3 days (r=0.43, n=37)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
against Our record on CGNT is poor 13% hit rate on 308 closed calls · payoff 0.64×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $8.74 highlighted. The $12.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 49). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on CGNT Proof 14 Oct · 4h
$8.74 → $8.74
+0.00% flat
4 Oct · 4h
$8.74 → $8.74
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$8.69 → $8.69
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$8.69 → $8.69
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 261 of these 308 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E — · fwd 13.28 Beta 1.679
52w $6.29–$12.31 IV rank —
Ask about CGNT answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +51 to +28 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +51.2 on 12 Oct, then fell to +28.1 on 14 Oct as the price moved from $8.77 to $8.74. It’s at +28.1 now.−9.9 from volume and +38.0 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 38 pts stock_scores · 22:46 method · 62/38
Compare with SQ Why is our CGNT record what it is? What’s the $12.5 wall?
What our data projects
−0.23 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#1301 of 1513. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How 0 of 1 checked projections for CGNT got the side of the market right.
Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $12.5 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Cognyte Software Ltd · Technology
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+28.1 evidence
not enough history
Why it’s +28
−9.9 volume · 42% calls+38.0 OI · 100% calls
38 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +124.0 09-06 09-12 09-19 09-25 10-01 10-07 10-14 10-19 $9 $8 Price +6.85%, tape −68.1 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 52 (55th pct) · quality 52 · 407 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
note No calibration for this kind of read yet the matching bucket has too few samples
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
What traded today · 62%
−9.9 pts
171 calls · 236 puts · bias −16.0
What’s on the books · 38%
+38.0 pts
104 call OI · 0 put OI · bias +100.0
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +6.85% · tape −68.1 · corr -0.28
▼ low −28.8 ◆ +124.0 in a day ● peak +97 09-06 09-12 09-19 09-25 10-01 10-07 10-14 10-19 $9 $8 Over 30 days, price has risen 6.85% while the tape has faded 68.1 points. The two are drifting apart.
13% hit rate · 308 closed
14 Oct · 4h
$8.74 → $8.74
+0.00% flat
4 Oct · 4h
$8.74 → $8.74
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$8.69 → $8.69
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$8.69 → $8.69
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $12.5 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about CGNT
Why did the score drop from +51 to +28 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +51.2 on 12 Oct, then fell to +28.1 on 14 Oct as the price moved from $8.77 to $8.74. It’s at +28.1 now.−9.9 from volume and +38.0 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 38 pts stock_scores · 22:46 method · 62/38
Compare with SQ Why is our CGNT record what it is? What’s the $12.5 wall?