CMC CMC
$63.35 · +2.00% vs $62.10 close · scored 18:04 · stale
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+82.9 composite
Evidence
53 / 100 · top 63% today
81 contracts · quality 59 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.78% · n=198,294
What traded today · weight 62%
+62.0 pts
81 calls · 100.0% 0 puts
bias +100.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+20.9 pts
3,444 call OI · 77.5% 999 put OI
bias +55.0 × 0.38
Equals
+82.9
75% of the score comes from today’s volume, 25% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
10-01 10-02 $63 $62
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 53 (37th pct) · quality 59 · 81 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.78% avg, n=198,294
against Our record on CMC is poor 0% hit rate on 5 closed calls
04
Where the positions sit No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
Spot $63.35. The $70 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 1,326). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
2 Oct · 4h
$63.35 → $63.35
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$62.72 → $62.72
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$62.72 → $62.72
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$61.19 → $61.19
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 5 of these 5 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
Research · never used to score
Tape transformer forecasts live on their own page and have not earned a place in the read. Not enough closed-trade evidence to trust on their own.
CMC
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+82.9 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.78% · n=198,294
Why it’s +83
+62.0 volume · 100% calls+20.9 OI · 78% calls
2 days · tape bars, price line
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 53 (37th pct) · quality 59 · 81 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.78% avg, n=198,294
against Our record on CMC is poor 0% hit rate on 5 closed calls
What traded today · 62%
+62.0 pts
81 calls · 0 puts · bias +100.0
What’s on the books · 38%
+20.9 pts
3,444 call OI · 999 put OI · bias +55.0
— price ◆ big one-day moves
10-01 10-02 $63 $62 No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
0% hit rate · 5 closed
2 Oct · 4h
$63.35 → $63.35
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$62.72 → $62.72
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$62.72 → $62.72
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$61.19 → $61.19
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $70 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about CMC
Not enough tape history on CMC for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our CMC record what it is? What’s the $70 wall?