COLD COLD
$14.04 · +0.00% vs $14.04 close · scored 02:48 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 41/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 41/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak · data quality is weak
The read
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+56.4 composite
Evidence
41 / 100 · top 77% today
149 contracts · quality 43 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.14% · n=59,823
What traded today · weight 62%
+60.3 pts
147 calls · 98.7% 2 puts
bias +97.3 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−3.9 pts
954 call OI · 44.8% 1,174 put OI
bias −10.3 × 0.38
Equals
+56.4
94% of the score comes from today’s volume, 6% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring COLD today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 41 (23th pct) · quality 43 · 149 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.14% avg, n=59,823
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on COLD
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $14.04 highlighted. The $15 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 1,697).
05 Our record on COLD Proof 22 Oct · 4h
$14.04 → $14.04
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
COLD
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+56.4 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.14% · n=59,823
Why it’s +56
+60.3 volume · 99% calls−3.9 OI · 45% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 41 (23th pct) · quality 43 · 149 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.14% avg, n=59,823
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on COLD
What traded today · 62%
+60.3 pts
147 calls · 2 puts · bias +97.3
What’s on the books · 38%
−3.9 pts
954 call OI · 1,174 put OI · bias −10.3
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
22 Oct · 4h
$14.04 → $14.04
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $15 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about COLD
Not enough tape history on COLD for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our COLD record what it is? What’s the $15 wall?