COLL
COLL
$22.92 · +0.00% vs $22.92 close · scored 02:48 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 36/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 36/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak · data quality is weak
The read
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+87.9 composite
Evidence
36 / 100 · top 85% today
1 contracts · quality 22 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.14% · n=59,823
What traded today · weight 62%
+62.0 pts
1 calls · 100.0%0 puts
bias +100.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+25.9 pts
142 call OI · 84.0%27 put OI
bias +68.0 × 0.38
Equals
+87.9
71% of the score comes from today’s volume, 29% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring COLL today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidenceconfidence 36 (15th pct) · quality 22 · 1 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paidstrongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.14% avg, n=59,823
noteToo few of our calls checked1 closed call on COLL
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $22.92 highlighted. The $30 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 81).
05Our record on COLL
Proof
22 Oct · 4h
$22.92 → $22.92
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
COLL
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+87.9evidence 36
hasn’t paid −0.14% · n=59,823
Why it’s +88
+62.0 volume · 100% calls+25.9 OI · 84% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidence
confidence 36 (15th pct) · quality 22 · 1 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paid
strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.14% avg, n=59,823
noteToo few of our calls checked
1 closed call on COLL
What traded today · 62%
+62.0 pts
1 calls · 0 puts · bias +100.0
What’s on the books · 38%
+25.9 pts
142 call OI · 27 put OI · bias +68.0
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
22 Oct · 4h
$22.92 → $22.92
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bearishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $30 wallprice · above
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about COLL
Not enough tape history on COLL for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.