CR CR
$203.76 · scored 10:07 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 45/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 45/100
For the read
options volume favours puts
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low
The read
Mildly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−21.2 composite
Evidence
45 / 100 · top 65% today
1,406 contracts · quality 75 · stability 0.00
has paid −1.46% · n=4,499
What traded today · weight 62%
−41.3 pts
235 calls · 16.7% 1,171 puts
bias −66.6 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+20.1 pts
207 call OI · 76.4% 64 put OI
bias +52.8 × 0.38
Equals
−21.2
67% of the score comes from today’s volume, 33% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring CR today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 45 (35th pct) · quality 75 · 1,406 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
pass This kind of read has paid mildly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −1.46% avg, n=4,499
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on CR
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $203.76 highlighted. The $240 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 67). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
14 Oct · 4h
$203.76 → $203.76
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
CR
Mildly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−21.2 evidence
has paid −1.46% · n=4,499
Why it’s −21
−41.3 volume · 17% calls+20.1 OI · 76% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 45 (35th pct) · quality 75 · 1,406 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on CR
What traded today · 62%
−41.3 pts
235 calls · 1,171 puts · bias −66.6
What’s on the books · 38%
+20.1 pts
207 call OI · 64 put OI · bias +52.8
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
14 Oct · 4h
$203.76 → $203.76
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $240 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about CR
Not enough tape history on CR for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our CR record what it is? What’s the $240 wall?