CRM Salesforce Inc
$227.80 · +0.00% vs $227.80 close · scored 14:21 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 77/100
What changed
The read is broadly unchanged.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 77/100
For the read
signal has been stable · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Neutral, well evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+8.3 composite┆ +8.3 yesterday (+0.0) +0.8 vs a week ago
Evidence
77 / 100 · top 6% today
26,549 contracts · quality 93 · stability 0.89
neutral · −0.51% · n=4,671
What traded today · weight 62%
+6.3 pts
14,617 calls · 55.1% 11,932 puts
bias +10.1 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+2.0 pts
62,269 call OI · 52.7% 55,975 put OI
bias +5.3 × 0.38
Equals
+8.3
76% of the score comes from today’s volume, 24% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −6.70% · tape +11.8 · corr -0.23
▼ low −21.6 ● peak +54 ◆ −64.9 in a day 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-22 09-29 10-06 10-09 $264 $206 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 6.70% while the tape has firmed 11.8 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 77 (94th pct) · quality 93 · 26,549 contracts
pass Stable 0.89 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 39
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · mid liquidity → −0.51% avg, n=4,671
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led CRM’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.19, n=45)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on CRM is poor 24% hit rate on 420 closed calls · payoff 1.42×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $227.80 highlighted. The $230 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 9,917). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
9 Oct · 4h
$227.80 → $227.80
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$227.80 → $227.80
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$227.80 → $227.80
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$227.80 → $227.80
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 182 of these 420 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 19.06 · fwd 14.34 Beta 1.250
52w $146.32–$269.11 IV rank —
Ask about CRM answers from FlowDesk data only
You
What is behind today’s +8.3?
FlowDesk
The composite has held within 0.8 points of +8.3 across the last 8 sessions.+6.3 from volume and +2.0 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 46 pts stock_scores · 14:21 method · 62/38
Compare with ORCL Why is our CRM record what it is? What’s the $230 wall?
What our data projects
+0.47 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#68 of 635 · helped by quality, confidence, price momentum (5 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $230 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Salesforce Inc · Technology
Neutral, well evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+8.3 ┆ +8.3 yday evidence
neutral · −0.51% · n=4,671
Why it’s +8
+6.3 volume · 55% calls+2.0 OI · 53% calls
46 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −64.9 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-22 09-29 10-06 10-09 $264 $206 Price −6.70%, tape +11.8 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 77 (94th pct) · quality 93 · 26,549 contracts
pass Stable 0.89 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 39
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · mid liquidity → −0.51% avg, n=4,671
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led CRM’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.19, n=45)
What traded today · 62%
+6.3 pts
14,617 calls · 11,932 puts · bias +10.1
What’s on the books · 38%
+2.0 pts
62,269 call OI · 55,975 put OI · bias +5.3
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −6.70% · tape +11.8 · corr -0.23
▼ low −21.6 ● peak +54 ◆ −64.9 in a day 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-22 09-29 10-06 10-09 $264 $206 Over 30 days, price has fallen 6.70% while the tape has firmed 11.8 points. The two are drifting apart.
24% hit rate · 420 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$227.80 → $227.80
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$227.80 → $227.80
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$227.80 → $227.80
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$227.80 → $227.80
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $230 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about CRM
What is behind today’s +8.3?
The composite has held within 0.8 points of +8.3 across the last 8 sessions.+6.3 from volume and +2.0 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 46 pts stock_scores · 14:21 method · 62/38
Compare with ORCL Why is our CRM record what it is? What’s the $230 wall?