CTO CTO
$20.70 · scored 18:43 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 31/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 31/100
For the read
open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak · data quality is weak
The read
Mildly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−22.6 composite
Evidence
31 / 100 · top 94% today
0 contracts · quality 20 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid +7.88% · n=2,936
No call/put volume stored for today, so the score can’t be split.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring CTO today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 31 (6th pct) · quality 20 · 0 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bearish · balanced · low liquidity → +7.88% avg, n=2,936
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on CTO
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $20.70 highlighted. The $20 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 20). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
We haven’t checked a call on CTO yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
CTO
Mildly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−22.6 evidence
hasn’t paid +7.88% · n=2,936
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 31 (6th pct) · quality 20 · 0 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bearish · balanced · low liquidity → +7.88% avg, n=2,936
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on CTO
No call/put volume stored for today.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $20 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about CTO
Not enough tape history on CTO for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our CTO record what it is? What’s the $20 wall?