CVS CVS Health Corp
$87.80 · +4.52% vs $84.00 close · scored 14:42 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 71/100
What changed
Composite strengthened 17.6 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 71/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read · signal has been stable · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Mildly bullish, well evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+18.0 composite┆ +0.4 yesterday (+17.6) −53.3 vs a week ago
Evidence
71 / 100 · top 13% today
9,029 contracts · quality 89 · stability 0.84
hasn’t paid −1.08% · n=2,328
What traded today · weight 62%
+7.6 pts
5,066 calls · 56.1% 3,963 puts
bias +12.2 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+10.4 pts
43,385 call OI · 63.7% 24,763 put OI
bias +27.3 × 0.38
Equals
+18.0
42% of the score comes from today’s volume, 58% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −13.17% · tape +7.0 · corr -0.43
▼ low −28.0 ◆ +94.7 in a day ● peak +71 08-26 09-02 09-09 09-16 09-24 10-01 10-09 $98 $84 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 13.17% while the tape has firmed 7.0 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 71 (87th pct) · quality 89 · 9,029 contracts
pass Stable 0.84 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 39
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · balanced · mid liquidity → −1.08% avg, n=2,328
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led CVS’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.39, n=43)
against Our record on CVS is poor 20% hit rate on 401 closed calls · payoff 2.18×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $87.80 highlighted. The $90 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 7,790). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
9 Oct · 4h
$87.80 → $87.80
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$85.13 → $87.80
+3.14% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$87.80 → $87.80
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$87.80 → $87.80
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 177 of these 401 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 25.30 · fwd 13.16 Beta 0.570
52w $69.51–$110.68 IV rank —
Ask about CVS answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +27 to +18 this week?
FlowDesk
It moved over several days. The composite was +26.7 on 1 Oct, then rose to +71.2 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $85.69 to $85.20. It’s at +18.0 now.+7.6 from volume and +10.4 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 14:42 method · 62/38
Compare with NEOG Why is our CVS record what it is? What’s the $90 wall?
What our data projects
+0.16 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#191 of 635 · helped by quality, confidence, composite change (3 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $90 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
CVS Health Corp · Health Care
Mildly bullish, well evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+18.0 ┆ +0.4 yday evidence
hasn’t paid −1.08% · n=2,328
Why it’s +18
+7.6 volume · 56% calls+10.4 OI · 64% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +94.7 08-26 09-02 09-09 09-16 09-24 10-01 10-09 $98 $84 Price −13.17%, tape +7.0 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 71 (87th pct) · quality 89 · 9,029 contracts
pass Stable 0.84 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 39
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · balanced · mid liquidity → −1.08% avg, n=2,328
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led CVS’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.39, n=43)
What traded today · 62%
+7.6 pts
5,066 calls · 3,963 puts · bias +12.2
What’s on the books · 38%
+10.4 pts
43,385 call OI · 24,763 put OI · bias +27.3
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −13.17% · tape +7.0 · corr -0.43
▼ low −28.0 ◆ +94.7 in a day ● peak +71 08-26 09-02 09-09 09-16 09-24 10-01 10-09 $98 $84 Over 30 days, price has fallen 13.17% while the tape has firmed 7.0 points. The two are drifting apart.
20% hit rate · 401 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$87.80 → $87.80
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$85.13 → $87.80
+3.14% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$87.80 → $87.80
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$87.80 → $87.80
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $90 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about CVS
Why did the score drop from +27 to +18 this week?
It moved over several days. The composite was +26.7 on 1 Oct, then rose to +71.2 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $85.69 to $85.20. It’s at +18.0 now.+7.6 from volume and +10.4 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 14:42 method · 62/38
Compare with NEOG Why is our CVS record what it is? What’s the $90 wall?