CWT CWT
$45.40 · scored 07:16 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 33/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 33/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak · data quality is weak
The read
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+28.6 composite
Evidence
33 / 100 · top 94% today
24 contracts · quality 43 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.59% · n=219,620
What traded today · weight 62%
+36.2 pts
19 calls · 79.2% 5 puts
bias +58.3 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−7.6 pts
8 call OI · 40.0% 12 put OI
bias −20.0 × 0.38
Equals
+28.6
83% of the score comes from today’s volume, 17% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring CWT today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 33 (6th pct) · quality 43 · 24 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.59% avg, n=219,620
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on CWT
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $45.40 highlighted. The $40 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 10). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
We haven’t checked a call on CWT yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
Research · never used to score
Tape transformer forecasts live on their own page and have not earned a place in the read. Not enough closed-trade evidence to trust on their own.
CWT
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+28.6 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.59% · n=219,620
Why it’s +29
+36.2 volume · 79% calls−7.6 OI · 40% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 33 (6th pct) · quality 43 · 24 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.59% avg, n=219,620
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on CWT
What traded today · 62%
+36.2 pts
19 calls · 5 puts · bias +58.3
What’s on the books · 38%
−7.6 pts
8 call OI · 12 put OI · bias −20.0
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $40 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about CWT
Not enough tape history on CWT for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our CWT record what it is? What’s the $40 wall?