DDOG Datadog Inc (Pre-Reincorporation)
$281.82 · +2.93% vs $273.80 close · scored 15:43 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 70/100
What changed
Composite strengthened 15.0 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 70/100
For the read
signal has been stable · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Neutral, well evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+6.3 composite┆ −8.6 yesterday (+15.0) +18.1 vs a week ago
Evidence
70 / 100 · top 13% today
6,121 contracts · quality 88 · stability 0.85
neutral · −0.59% · n=4,187
What traded today · weight 62%
+5.3 pts
3,320 calls · 54.2% 2,801 puts
bias +8.5 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+1.1 pts
25,618 call OI · 51.4% 24,221 put OI
bias +2.8 × 0.38
Equals
+6.3
83% of the score comes from today’s volume, 17% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +21.54% · tape +5.8 · corr -0.34
▼ low −14.1 ◆ +34.1 in a day ● peak +39 08-28 09-04 09-11 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-09 $277 $210 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has risen 21.54% while the tape has firmed 5.8 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 70 (87th pct) · quality 88 · 6,121 contracts
pass Stable 0.85 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 39
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · mid liquidity → −0.59% avg, n=4,187
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led DDOG’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.28, n=43)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
against Our record on DDOG is poor 16% hit rate on 398 closed calls · payoff 0.67×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $281.82 highlighted. The $260 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 2,939). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on DDOG Proof 9 Oct · 4h
$281.82 → $281.82
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$273.80 → $281.82
+2.93% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$273.80 → $281.82
+2.93% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$273.80 → $281.82
+2.93% miss
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 174 of these 398 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 559.12 · fwd 86.29 Beta 1.508
52w $98.01–$292.72 IV rank —
Ask about DDOG answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from −12 to +6 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was −11.8 on 3 Oct, then rose to +9.0 on 4 Oct as the price moved from $277.22 to $277.22. It’s at +6.3 now.+5.3 from volume and +1.1 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 15:43 method · 62/38
Compare with ORCL Why is our DDOG record what it is? What’s the $260 wall?
What our data projects
+0.05 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#280 of 780 · helped by quality, tape composite, confidence. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $260 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Datadog Inc (Pre-Reincorporation) · Technology
Neutral, well evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+6.3 ┆ −8.6 yday evidence
neutral · −0.59% · n=4,187
Why it’s +6
+5.3 volume · 54% calls+1.1 OI · 51% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +34.1 08-28 09-04 09-11 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-09 $277 $210 Price +21.54%, tape +5.8 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 70 (87th pct) · quality 88 · 6,121 contracts
pass Stable 0.85 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 39
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · mid liquidity → −0.59% avg, n=4,187
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led DDOG’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.28, n=43)
What traded today · 62%
+5.3 pts
3,320 calls · 2,801 puts · bias +8.5
What’s on the books · 38%
+1.1 pts
25,618 call OI · 24,221 put OI · bias +2.8
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +21.54% · tape +5.8 · corr -0.34
▼ low −14.1 ◆ +34.1 in a day ● peak +39 08-28 09-04 09-11 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-09 $277 $210 Over 30 days, price has risen 21.54% while the tape has firmed 5.8 points. They agree.
16% hit rate · 398 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$281.82 → $281.82
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$273.80 → $281.82
+2.93% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$273.80 → $281.82
+2.93% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$273.80 → $281.82
+2.93% miss
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $260 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about DDOG
Why did the score rise from −12 to +6 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was −11.8 on 3 Oct, then rose to +9.0 on 4 Oct as the price moved from $277.22 to $277.22. It’s at +6.3 now.+5.3 from volume and +1.1 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 15:43 method · 62/38
Compare with ORCL Why is our DDOG record what it is? What’s the $260 wall?