DY Dycom Industries Inc
$269.23 · −3.66% vs $279.47 close · scored 09:27 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 61/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 61/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , but price is moving the other way.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+38.0 composite−3.7 vs a week ago
Evidence
61 / 100 · top 35% today
1,745 contracts · quality 77 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
What traded today · weight 62%
+27.0 pts
1,252 calls · 71.7% 493 puts
bias +43.5 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+11.0 pts
9,399 call OI · 64.5% 5,169 put OI
bias +29.0 × 0.38
Equals
+38.0
71% of the score comes from today’s volume, 29% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −6.29% · tape +45.0 · corr -0.56
▼ low −23.4 ◆ −90.8 in a day ● peak +83 08-29 09-05 09-12 09-19 09-26 10-03 10-10 $307 $267 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 6.29% while the tape has firmed 45.0 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 61 (65th pct) · quality 77 · 1,745 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
note No reliable lead enough history exists, but no tape/price lead clears the reliability threshold (r=0.00, n=52)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on DY is poor 30% hit rate on 787 closed calls · payoff 1.13×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $269.23 highlighted. The $350 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 2,023). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
4 Oct · 4h
$273.75 → $273.75
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$275.33 → $275.33
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$272.78 → $272.78
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$269.96 → $269.96
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 367 of these 787 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report 26 Aug BMO
P/E 25.66 · fwd 17.03 Beta 1.535
52w $263.36–$566.47 IV rank —
Ask about DY answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +42 to +38 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +45.7 on 9 Oct, then fell to +38.0 on 10 Oct as the price moved from $279.47 to $269.23. It’s at +38.0 now.+27.0 from volume and +11.0 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 53 pts stock_scores · 09:27 method · 62/38
Compare with VMC Why is our DY record what it is? What’s the $350 wall?
What our data projects
−0.04 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#294 of 635 · helped by call/put volume tilt. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $350 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Dycom Industries Inc · Construction
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . Price is moving the other way.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+38.0 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
Why it’s +38
+27.0 volume · 72% calls+11.0 OI · 65% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −90.8 08-29 09-05 09-12 09-19 09-26 10-03 10-10 $307 $267 Price −6.29%, tape +45.0 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 61 (65th pct) · quality 77 · 1,745 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
note No reliable lead enough history exists, but no tape/price lead clears the reliability threshold (r=0.00, n=52)
What traded today · 62%
+27.0 pts
1,252 calls · 493 puts · bias +43.5
What’s on the books · 38%
+11.0 pts
9,399 call OI · 5,169 put OI · bias +29.0
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −6.29% · tape +45.0 · corr -0.56
▼ low −23.4 ◆ −90.8 in a day ● peak +83 08-29 09-05 09-12 09-19 09-26 10-03 10-10 $307 $267 Over 30 days, price has fallen 6.29% while the tape has firmed 45.0 points. The two are drifting apart.
30% hit rate · 787 closed
4 Oct · 4h
$273.75 → $273.75
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$275.33 → $275.33
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$272.78 → $272.78
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$269.96 → $269.96
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $350 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about DY
Why did the score drop from +42 to +38 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +45.7 on 9 Oct, then fell to +38.0 on 10 Oct as the price moved from $279.47 to $269.23. It’s at +38.0 now.+27.0 from volume and +11.0 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 53 pts stock_scores · 09:27 method · 62/38
Compare with VMC Why is our DY record what it is? What’s the $350 wall?