EFOR EFOR
$38.31 · scored 09:57 · fresh
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 42/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 42/100
For the read
options volume favours puts
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak
The read
Neutral, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+2.6 composite
Evidence
42 / 100 · top 72% today
508 contracts · quality 56 · stability 0.00
neutral · +1.14% · n=3,439
What traded today · weight 62%
−35.4 pts
109 calls · 21.5% 399 puts
bias −57.1 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+38.0 pts
2 call OI · 100.0% 0 put OI
bias +100.0 × 0.38
Equals
+2.6
48% of the score comes from today’s volume, 52% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring EFOR today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 42 (28th pct) · quality 56 · 508 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · put-heavy · low liquidity → +1.14% avg, n=3,439
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on EFOR
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $38.31 highlighted. The $10 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 2). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on EFOR Proof 14 Oct · 4h
$38.31 → $38.31
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
EFOR
Neutral, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+2.6 evidence
neutral · +1.14% · n=3,439
Why it’s +3
−35.4 volume · 21% calls+38.0 OI · 100% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 42 (28th pct) · quality 56 · 508 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · put-heavy · low liquidity → +1.14% avg, n=3,439
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on EFOR
What traded today · 62%
−35.4 pts
109 calls · 399 puts · bias −57.1
What’s on the books · 38%
+38.0 pts
2 call OI · 0 put OI · bias +100.0
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
14 Oct · 4h
$38.31 → $38.31
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $10 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about EFOR
Not enough tape history on EFOR for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our EFOR record what it is? What’s the $10 wall?