ESNT
ESNT
$64.70 · +0.00% vs $64.70 close · scored 10:39 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 41/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 41/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak
The read
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+59.5 composite
Evidence
41 / 100 · top 75% today
109 contracts · quality 73 · stability 0.00
has paid +0.03% · n=74,841
What traded today · weight 62%
+60.9 pts
108 calls · 99.1%1 puts
bias +98.2 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−1.4 pts
1,562 call OI · 48.1%1,683 put OI
bias −3.7 × 0.38
Equals
+59.5
98% of the score comes from today’s volume, 2% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring ESNT today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidenceconfidence 41 (25th pct) · quality 73 · 109 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
passThis kind of read has paidstrongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → +0.03% avg, n=74,841
noteToo few of our calls checked1 closed call on ESNT
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $64.70 highlighted. The $65 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 1,201). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05Our record on ESNT
Proof
17 Oct · 4h
$64.70 → $64.70
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
ESNT
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+59.5evidence 41
has paid +0.03% · n=74,841
Why it’s +59
+60.9 volume · 99% calls−1.4 OI · 48% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidence
confidence 41 (25th pct) · quality 73 · 109 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
noteToo few of our calls checked
1 closed call on ESNT
What traded today · 62%
+60.9 pts
108 calls · 1 puts · bias +98.2
What’s on the books · 38%
−1.4 pts
1,562 call OI · 1,683 put OI · bias −3.7
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
17 Oct · 4h
$64.70 → $64.70
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bearishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $65 wallprice · above
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about ESNT
Not enough tape history on ESNT for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.