ETD ETD
$20.43 · scored 09:57 · fresh
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 57/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 57/100
For the read
options volume favours puts
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low
The read
Neutral, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+9.3 composite
Evidence
57 / 100 · top 35% today
508 contracts · quality 75 · stability 0.00
neutral · +1.14% · n=3,439
What traded today · weight 62%
−10.5 pts
211 calls · 41.5% 297 puts
bias −16.9 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+19.8 pts
1,583 call OI · 76.0% 500 put OI
bias +52.0 × 0.38
Equals
+9.3
35% of the score comes from today’s volume, 65% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring ETD today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 57 (65th pct) · quality 75 · 508 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · put-heavy · low liquidity → +1.14% avg, n=3,439
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on ETD
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $20.43 highlighted. The $24.75 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 727). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
14 Oct · 4h
$20.43 → $20.43
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
ETD
Neutral, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+9.3 evidence
neutral · +1.14% · n=3,439
Why it’s +9
−10.5 volume · 42% calls+19.8 OI · 76% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 57 (65th pct) · quality 75 · 508 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · put-heavy · low liquidity → +1.14% avg, n=3,439
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on ETD
What traded today · 62%
−10.5 pts
211 calls · 297 puts · bias −16.9
What’s on the books · 38%
+19.8 pts
1,583 call OI · 500 put OI · bias +52.0
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
14 Oct · 4h
$20.43 → $20.43
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $24.75 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about ETD
Not enough tape history on ETD for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our ETD record what it is? What’s the $24.75 wall?