EVR EVR
$263.94 · scored 09:57 · fresh
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 48/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 48/100
For the read
No strong confirming evidence isolated.
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low
The read
Mildly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−11.9 composite
Evidence
48 / 100 · top 55% today
983 contracts · quality 74 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid +8.30% · n=2,772
What traded today · weight 62%
−2.5 pts
472 calls · 48.0% 511 puts
bias −4.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−9.5 pts
95 call OI · 37.5% 158 put OI
bias −24.9 × 0.38
Equals
−11.9
21% of the score comes from today’s volume, 79% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring EVR today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 48 (45th pct) · quality 74 · 983 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bearish · balanced · low liquidity → +8.30% avg, n=2,772
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on EVR
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $263.94 highlighted. The $500 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 55). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
14 Oct · 4h
$263.94 → $263.94
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
EVR
Mildly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−11.9 evidence
hasn’t paid +8.30% · n=2,772
Why it’s −12
−2.5 volume · 48% calls−9.5 OI · 38% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 48 (45th pct) · quality 74 · 983 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bearish · balanced · low liquidity → +8.30% avg, n=2,772
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on EVR
What traded today · 62%
−2.5 pts
472 calls · 511 puts · bias −4.0
What’s on the books · 38%
−9.5 pts
95 call OI · 158 put OI · bias −24.9
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
14 Oct · 4h
$263.94 → $263.94
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $500 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about EVR
Not enough tape history on EVR for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our EVR record what it is? What’s the $500 wall?