EW Edwards Lifesciences Corp
$84.12 · −0.14% vs $84.24 close · scored 15:50 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 64/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 64/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+46.5 composite+61.6 vs a week ago
Evidence
64 / 100 · top 28% today
1,273 contracts · quality 77 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
What traded today · weight 62%
+31.9 pts
964 calls · 75.7% 309 puts
bias +51.5 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+14.6 pts
16,101 call OI · 69.3% 7,144 put OI
bias +38.5 × 0.38
Equals
+46.5
69% of the score comes from today’s volume, 31% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −2.86% · tape +23.4 · corr -0.10
● peak +83 ▼ low −36.6 ◆ −82.6 in a day 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-24 10-01 10-09 $91 $84 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 2.86% while the tape has firmed 23.4 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 64 (72th pct) · quality 77 · 1,273 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led EW’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.16, n=44)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on EW is poor 18% hit rate on 385 closed calls · payoff 0.63×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $84.12 highlighted. The $90 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 3,822). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
9 Oct · 4h
$84.12 → $84.12
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$84.24 → $84.12
−0.14% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$84.24 → $84.12
−0.14% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$84.24 → $84.24
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 178 of these 385 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 48.84 · fwd 28.37 Beta 0.836
52w $72.30–$96.29 IV rank —
Ask about EW answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from −37 to +47 this week?
FlowDesk
It moved over several days. The composite was +14.2 on 3 Oct, then rose to +46.8 on 4 Oct as the price moved from $85.15 to $85.15. It’s at +46.5 now.+31.9 from volume and +14.6 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 15:50 method · 62/38
Compare with MDT Why is our EW record what it is? What’s the $90 wall?
What our data projects
+0.13 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#200 of 635 · helped by call/put volume tilt, price momentum (5 days), last day's move. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $90 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Edwards Lifesciences Corp · Health Care
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+46.5 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
Why it’s +47
+31.9 volume · 76% calls+14.6 OI · 69% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −82.6 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-24 10-01 10-09 $91 $84 Price −2.86%, tape +23.4 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 64 (72th pct) · quality 77 · 1,273 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led EW’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.16, n=44)
What traded today · 62%
+31.9 pts
964 calls · 309 puts · bias +51.5
What’s on the books · 38%
+14.6 pts
16,101 call OI · 7,144 put OI · bias +38.5
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −2.86% · tape +23.4 · corr -0.10
● peak +83 ▼ low −36.6 ◆ −82.6 in a day 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-24 10-01 10-09 $91 $84 Over 30 days, price has fallen 2.86% while the tape has firmed 23.4 points. The two are drifting apart.
18% hit rate · 385 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$84.12 → $84.12
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$84.24 → $84.12
−0.14% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$84.24 → $84.12
−0.14% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$84.24 → $84.24
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $90 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about EW
Why did the score rise from −37 to +47 this week?
It moved over several days. The composite was +14.2 on 3 Oct, then rose to +46.8 on 4 Oct as the price moved from $85.15 to $85.15. It’s at +46.5 now.+31.9 from volume and +14.6 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 15:50 method · 62/38
Compare with MDT Why is our EW record what it is? What’s the $90 wall?