F F
$12.10 · scored 09:04 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 61/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 61/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+68.7 composite
Evidence
61 / 100 · top 26% today
26,951 contracts · quality 77 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −1.17% · n=15,998
What traded today · weight 62%
+31.7 pts
20,375 calls · 75.6% 6,576 puts
bias +51.2 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+37.0 pts
72 call OI · 98.6% 1 put OI
bias +97.3 × 0.38
Equals
+68.7
46% of the score comes from today’s volume, 54% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring F today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 61 (74th pct) · quality 77 · 26,951 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 16
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.17% avg, n=15,998
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on F
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $12.10 highlighted. The $21 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 72). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
14 Oct · 4h
$12.10 → $12.10
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
F
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+68.7 evidence
hasn’t paid −1.17% · n=15,998
Why it’s +69
+31.7 volume · 76% calls+37.0 OI · 99% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 61 (74th pct) · quality 77 · 26,951 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 16
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.17% avg, n=15,998
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on F
What traded today · 62%
+31.7 pts
20,375 calls · 6,576 puts · bias +51.2
What’s on the books · 38%
+37.0 pts
72 call OI · 1 put OI · bias +97.3
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
14 Oct · 4h
$12.10 → $12.10
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $21 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about F
Not enough tape history on F for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our F record what it is? What’s the $21 wall?