FCNCA FCNCA
$2,065.89 · scored 06:15 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 36/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 36/100
For the read
No strong confirming evidence isolated.
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak
The read
Neutral, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+2.1 composite
Evidence
36 / 100 · top 88% today
330 contracts · quality 73 · stability 0.00
neutral · −0.46% · n=96,031
What traded today · weight 62%
+5.3 pts
179 calls · 54.2% 151 puts
bias +8.5 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−3.1 pts
89 call OI · 45.9% 105 put OI
bias −8.2 × 0.38
Equals
+2.1
63% of the score comes from today’s volume, 37% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring FCNCA today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 36 (12th pct) · quality 73 · 330 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 100
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · low liquidity → −0.46% avg, n=96,031
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on FCNCA
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $2,065.89 highlighted. The $2,320 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 56). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on FCNCA Proof 9 Oct · 4h
$2,065.89 → $2,065.89
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
Research · never used to score
Tape transformer forecasts live on their own page and have not earned a place in the read. Not enough closed-trade evidence to trust on their own.
FCNCA
Neutral, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+2.1 evidence
neutral · −0.46% · n=96,031
Why it’s +2
+5.3 volume · 54% calls−3.1 OI · 46% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 36 (12th pct) · quality 73 · 330 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 100
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · low liquidity → −0.46% avg, n=96,031
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on FCNCA
What traded today · 62%
+5.3 pts
179 calls · 151 puts · bias +8.5
What’s on the books · 38%
−3.1 pts
89 call OI · 105 put OI · bias −8.2
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$2,065.89 → $2,065.89
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $2320 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about FCNCA
Not enough tape history on FCNCA for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our FCNCA record what it is? What’s the $2320 wall?