FRMI Fermi Inc
$3.74 · +4.76% vs $3.57 close · scored 14:32 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 76/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 76/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, well evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+39.8 composite+30.7 vs a week ago
Evidence
76 / 100 · top 6% today
31,524 contracts · quality 82 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −1.64% · n=25,061
What traded today · weight 62%
+21.9 pts
21,335 calls · 67.7% 10,189 puts
bias +35.4 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+17.8 pts
554,820 call OI · 73.5% 200,484 put OI
bias +46.9 × 0.38
Equals
+39.8
55% of the score comes from today’s volume, 45% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −37.48% · tape −9.7 · corr 0.29
▼ low −45.2 ◆ +89.4 in a day ● peak +64 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $6 $4 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 37.48% while the tape has faded 9.7 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 76 (94th pct) · quality 82 · 31,524 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.64% avg, n=25,061
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led FRMI’s tape by 3 days (r=-0.37, n=50)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
note Our record on FRMI is mixed 49% hit rate on 1415 closed calls · payoff 1.73×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $3.74 highlighted. The $10 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 148,239). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on FRMI Proof 49%
hit rate · 1415 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$3.74 → $3.74
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$3.66 → $3.74
+2.19% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$3.66 → $3.74
+2.19% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$3.66 → $3.74
+2.19% hit
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 471 of these 1415 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E — · fwd 13.83 Beta 1.789
52w $3.92–$36.99 IV rank —
Ask about FRMI answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from +2 to +40 this week?
FlowDesk
It moved over several days. The composite was +20.0 on 6 Oct, then rose to +39.6 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $4.03 to $3.97. It’s at +39.8 now.+21.9 from volume and +17.8 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 51 pts stock_scores · 14:32 method · 62/38
Compare with OPEN Why is our FRMI record what it is? What’s the $10 wall?
What our data projects
+0.58 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#46 of 635 · helped by confidence, price momentum (5 days), volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $10 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Fermi Inc · Real Estate
Strongly bullish, well evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+39.8 evidence
hasn’t paid −1.64% · n=25,061
Why it’s +40
+21.9 volume · 68% calls+17.8 OI · 73% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +89.4 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $6 $4 Price −37.48%, tape −9.7 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 76 (94th pct) · quality 82 · 31,524 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.64% avg, n=25,061
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led FRMI’s tape by 3 days (r=-0.37, n=50)
What traded today · 62%
+21.9 pts
21,335 calls · 10,189 puts · bias +35.4
What’s on the books · 38%
+17.8 pts
554,820 call OI · 200,484 put OI · bias +46.9
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −37.48% · tape −9.7 · corr 0.29
▼ low −45.2 ◆ +89.4 in a day ● peak +64 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $6 $4 Over 30 days, price has fallen 37.48% while the tape has faded 9.7 points. They agree.
49% hit rate · 1415 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$3.74 → $3.74
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$3.66 → $3.74
+2.19% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$3.66 → $3.74
+2.19% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$3.66 → $3.74
+2.19% hit
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $10 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about FRMI
Why did the score rise from +2 to +40 this week?
It moved over several days. The composite was +20.0 on 6 Oct, then rose to +39.6 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $4.03 to $3.97. It’s at +39.8 now.+21.9 from volume and +17.8 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 51 pts stock_scores · 14:32 method · 62/38
Compare with OPEN Why is our FRMI record what it is? What’s the $10 wall?