FROG
FROG
$95.80 · −0.52% vs $96.30 close · scored 04:17 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 61/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 61/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+59.1 composite
Evidence
61 / 100 · top 18% today
626 contracts · quality 77 · stability 0.00
has paid +0.05% · n=56,175
What traded today · weight 62%
+47.3 pts
552 calls · 88.2%74 puts
bias +76.4 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+11.8 pts
12,806 call OI · 65.5%6,756 put OI
bias +30.9 × 0.38
Equals
+59.1
80% of the score comes from today’s volume, 20% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring FROG today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lotconfidence 61 (82th pct) · quality 77 · 626 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
passThis kind of read has paidstrongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → +0.05% avg, n=56,175
noteToo few of our calls checked2 closed calls on FROG
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $95.80 highlighted. The $130 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 2,017).
05Our record on FROG
Proof
22 Oct · 4h
$95.80 → $95.80
+0.00%flat
22 Oct · 4h
$96.30 → $95.80
−0.52%hit
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 2 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
FROG
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+59.1evidence 61
has paid +0.05% · n=56,175
Why it’s +59
+47.3 volume · 88% calls+11.8 OI · 65% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lot
confidence 61 (82th pct) · quality 77 · 626 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
noteToo few of our calls checked
2 closed calls on FROG
What traded today · 62%
+47.3 pts
552 calls · 74 puts · bias +76.4
What’s on the books · 38%
+11.8 pts
12,806 call OI · 6,756 put OI · bias +30.9
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
50% hit rate · 2 closed
22 Oct · 4h
$95.80 → $95.80
+0.00%flat
22 Oct · 4h
$96.30 → $95.80
−0.52%hit
The read flips to bearishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $130 wallprice · above
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about FROG
Not enough tape history on FROG for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.