FTHM FTHM
$0.20 · +0.00% vs $0.20 close · scored 05:28 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 46/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 46/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · data quality is weak
The read
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+61.7 composite
Evidence
46 / 100 · top 62% today
97 contracts · quality 43 · stability 0.00
has paid +0.78% · n=38,227
What traded today · weight 62%
+23.6 pts
67 calls · 69.1% 30 puts
bias +38.1 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+38.0 pts
977 call OI · 100.0% 0 put OI
bias +100.0 × 0.38
Equals
+61.7
38% of the score comes from today’s volume, 62% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring FTHM today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 46 (38th pct) · quality 43 · 97 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → +0.78% avg, n=38,227
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on FTHM
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $0.20 highlighted. The $2.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 977).
05 Our record on FTHM Proof 26 Oct · 4h
$0.20 → $0.20
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
FTHM
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+61.7 evidence
has paid +0.78% · n=38,227
Why it’s +62
+23.6 volume · 69% calls+38.0 OI · 100% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 46 (38th pct) · quality 43 · 97 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on FTHM
What traded today · 62%
+23.6 pts
67 calls · 30 puts · bias +38.1
What’s on the books · 38%
+38.0 pts
977 call OI · 0 put OI · bias +100.0
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
26 Oct · 4h
$0.20 → $0.20
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $2.5 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about FTHM
Not enough tape history on FTHM for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our FTHM record what it is? What’s the $2.5 wall?