GPMT GPMT
$4.72 · +0.00% vs $4.72 close · scored 09:34 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 55/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 55/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · data quality is weak
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+72.9 composite
Evidence
55 / 100 · top 35% today
297 contracts · quality 43 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.12% · n=66,298
What traded today · weight 62%
+34.9 pts
232 calls · 78.1% 65 puts
bias +56.2 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+38.0 pts
1,833 call OI · 100.0% 0 put OI
bias +100.0 × 0.38
Equals
+72.9
48% of the score comes from today’s volume, 52% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring GPMT today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 55 (65th pct) · quality 43 · 297 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.12% avg, n=66,298
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on GPMT
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $4.72 highlighted. The $2.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 1,619).
05 Our record on GPMT Proof 21 Oct · 4h
$4.72 → $4.72
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
GPMT
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+72.9 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.12% · n=66,298
Why it’s +73
+34.9 volume · 78% calls+38.0 OI · 100% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 55 (65th pct) · quality 43 · 297 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.12% avg, n=66,298
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on GPMT
What traded today · 62%
+34.9 pts
232 calls · 65 puts · bias +56.2
What’s on the books · 38%
+38.0 pts
1,833 call OI · 0 put OI · bias +100.0
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
21 Oct · 4h
$4.72 → $4.72
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $2.5 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about GPMT
Not enough tape history on GPMT for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our GPMT record what it is? What’s the $2.5 wall?