GRAL
GRAL
$125.09 · +0.00% vs $125.09 close · scored 00:50 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 48/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 48/100
For the read
No strong confirming evidence isolated.
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low
The read
Neutral, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+2.4 composite
Evidence
48 / 100 · top 55% today
300 contracts · quality 65 · stability 0.00
neutral · −1.25% · n=6,966
What traded today · weight 62%
+6.2 pts
165 calls · 55.0%135 puts
bias +10.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−3.8 pts
1,870 call OI · 44.9%2,291 put OI
bias −10.1 × 0.38
Equals
+2.4
62% of the score comes from today’s volume, 38% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring GRAL today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidenceconfidence 48 (45th pct) · quality 65 · 300 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
noteNeutral reads make no callneutral · balanced · low liquidity → −1.25% avg, n=6,966
noteToo few of our calls checked1 closed call on GRAL
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $125.09 highlighted. The $90 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 835).
05Our record on GRAL
Proof
22 Oct · 4h
$125.09 → $125.09
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
GRAL
Neutral, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+2.4evidence 48
neutral · −1.25% · n=6,966
Why it’s +2
+6.2 volume · 55% calls−3.8 OI · 45% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidence
confidence 48 (45th pct) · quality 65 · 300 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
noteNeutral reads make no call
neutral · balanced · low liquidity → −1.25% avg, n=6,966
noteToo few of our calls checked
1 closed call on GRAL
What traded today · 62%
+6.2 pts
165 calls · 135 puts · bias +10.0
What’s on the books · 38%
−3.8 pts
1,870 call OI · 2,291 put OI · bias −10.1
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
22 Oct · 4h
$125.09 → $125.09
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bearishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $90 wallprice · below
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about GRAL
Not enough tape history on GRAL for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.