HBB
HBB
$33.90 · scored 03:56 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 36/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 36/100
For the read
options volume favours puts · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak · data quality is weak
The read
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−52.3 composite
Evidence
36 / 100 · top 86% today
16 contracts · quality 41 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.33% · n=13,788
What traded today · weight 62%
−38.8 pts
3 calls · 18.8%13 puts
bias −62.5 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−13.6 pts
18 call OI · 32.1%38 put OI
bias −35.7 × 0.38
Equals
−52.3
74% of the score comes from today’s volume, 26% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring HBB today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidenceconfidence 36 (14th pct) · quality 41 · 16 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
passThis kind of read has paidstrongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −0.33% avg, n=13,788
noteToo few of our calls checked1 closed call on HBB
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $33.90 highlighted. The $30 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 16).
20 Oct · 4h
$33.90 → $33.90
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
HBB
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−52.3evidence 36
has paid −0.33% · n=13,788
Why it’s −52
−38.8 volume · 19% calls−13.6 OI · 32% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidence
confidence 36 (14th pct) · quality 41 · 16 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
noteToo few of our calls checked
1 closed call on HBB
What traded today · 62%
−38.8 pts
3 calls · 13 puts · bias −62.5
What’s on the books · 38%
−13.6 pts
18 call OI · 38 put OI · bias −35.7
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
20 Oct · 4h
$33.90 → $33.90
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bullishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $30 wallprice · below
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about HBB
Not enough tape history on HBB for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.