HG HG
$35.08 · scored 08:04 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 61/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 61/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+94.2 composite
Evidence
61 / 100 · top 22% today
2,024 contracts · quality 71 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.05% · n=77,942
What traded today · weight 62%
+56.8 pts
1,939 calls · 95.8% 85 puts
bias +91.6 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+37.4 pts
1,238 call OI · 99.2% 10 put OI
bias +98.4 × 0.38
Equals
+94.2
60% of the score comes from today’s volume, 40% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring HG today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 61 (78th pct) · quality 71 · 2,024 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.05% avg, n=77,942
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on HG
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $35.08 highlighted. The $17.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 576). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
We haven’t checked a call on HG yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
HG
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+94.2 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.05% · n=77,942
Why it’s +94
+56.8 volume · 96% calls+37.4 OI · 99% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 61 (78th pct) · quality 71 · 2,024 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.05% avg, n=77,942
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on HG
What traded today · 62%
+56.8 pts
1,939 calls · 85 puts · bias +91.6
What’s on the books · 38%
+37.4 pts
1,238 call OI · 10 put OI · bias +98.4
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $17.5 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about HG
Not enough tape history on HG for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our HG record what it is? What’s the $17.5 wall?