HIVE HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd
$2.90 · +5.45% vs $2.75 close · scored 07:43 · fresh
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 58/100
What changed
Composite weakened 20.8 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 58/100
For the read
options volume favours puts · signal has been stable
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read
The read
Neutral, moderately evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−6.1 composite┆ +14.7 yesterday (−20.8) −67.6 vs a week ago
Evidence
58 / 100 · top 42% today
866 contracts · quality 71 · stability 0.85
neutral · +9.94% · n=4,567
What traded today · weight 62%
−22.2 pts
278 calls · 32.1% 588 puts
bias −35.8 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+16.1 pts
5,949 call OI · 71.2% 2,405 put OI
bias +42.4 × 0.38
Equals
−6.1
58% of the score comes from today’s volume, 42% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −19.03% · tape −73.4 · corr 0.59
◆ −69.8 in a day ● peak +87 ▼ low −6.1 08-28 09-04 09-11 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-10 $4 $3 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 19.03% while the tape has faded 73.4 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 58 (58th pct) · quality 71 · 866 contracts
pass Stable 0.85 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · put-heavy · low liquidity → +9.94% avg, n=4,567
pass Tape has led price tape has led HIVE’s price by 2 days (r=-0.16, n=51)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
note Our record on HIVE is mixed 37% hit rate on 643 closed calls · payoff 3.56×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $2.90 highlighted. The $3 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 3,814). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on HIVE Proof 10 Oct · 4h
$2.90 → $2.90
+0.00% flat
10 Oct · 4h
$2.50 → $2.90
+16.00% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$2.51 → $2.51
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$2.50 → $2.51
+0.40% hit
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 302 of these 643 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E — Beta 1.582
52w $2.42–$10.96 IV rank —
Ask about HIVE answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +87 to −6 this week?
FlowDesk
It moved over several days. The composite was +41.0 on 8 Oct, then fell to +14.7 on 9 Oct as the price moved from $2.75 to $2.75. It’s at −6.1 now.−22.2 from volume and +16.1 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 52 pts stock_scores · 07:43 method · 62/38
Compare with ORCL Why is our HIVE record what it is? What’s the $3 wall?
What our data projects
+0.20 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#168 of 635 · helped by tape composite, price momentum (5 days), volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $3 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd · Technology
Neutral, moderately evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−6.1 ┆ +14.7 yday evidence
neutral · +9.94% · n=4,567
Why it’s −6
−22.2 volume · 32% calls+16.1 OI · 71% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −69.8 08-28 09-04 09-11 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-10 $4 $3 Price −19.03%, tape −73.4 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 58 (58th pct) · quality 71 · 866 contracts
pass Stable 0.85 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · put-heavy · low liquidity → +9.94% avg, n=4,567
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
What traded today · 62%
−22.2 pts
278 calls · 588 puts · bias −35.8
What’s on the books · 38%
+16.1 pts
5,949 call OI · 2,405 put OI · bias +42.4
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −19.03% · tape −73.4 · corr 0.59
◆ −69.8 in a day ● peak +87 ▼ low −6.1 08-28 09-04 09-11 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-10 $4 $3 Over 30 days, price has fallen 19.03% while the tape has faded 73.4 points. They agree.
37% hit rate · 643 closed
10 Oct · 4h
$2.90 → $2.90
+0.00% flat
10 Oct · 4h
$2.50 → $2.90
+16.00% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$2.51 → $2.51
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$2.50 → $2.51
+0.40% hit
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $3 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about HIVE
Why did the score drop from +87 to −6 this week?
It moved over several days. The composite was +41.0 on 8 Oct, then fell to +14.7 on 9 Oct as the price moved from $2.75 to $2.75. It’s at −6.1 now.−22.2 from volume and +16.1 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 52 pts stock_scores · 07:43 method · 62/38
Compare with ORCL Why is our HIVE record what it is? What’s the $3 wall?