HLT HLT
$327.54 · scored 08:03 · fresh
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 45/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 45/100
For the read
No strong confirming evidence isolated.
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low
The read
Neutral, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+0.2 composite
Evidence
45 / 100 · top 67% today
89 contracts · quality 74 · stability 0.00
neutral · +0.45% · n=11,074
What traded today · weight 62%
−3.5 pts
42 calls · 47.2% 47 puts
bias −5.6 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+3.7 pts
2,814 call OI · 54.9% 2,316 put OI
bias +9.7 × 0.38
Equals
+0.2
49% of the score comes from today’s volume, 51% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring HLT today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 45 (33th pct) · quality 74 · 89 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · low liquidity → +0.45% avg, n=11,074
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on HLT
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $327.54 highlighted. The $310 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 641). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
13 Oct · 4h
$327.54 → $327.54
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
HLT
Neutral, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+0.2 evidence
neutral · +0.45% · n=11,074
Why it’s +0
−3.5 volume · 47% calls+3.7 OI · 55% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 45 (33th pct) · quality 74 · 89 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · low liquidity → +0.45% avg, n=11,074
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on HLT
What traded today · 62%
−3.5 pts
42 calls · 47 puts · bias −5.6
What’s on the books · 38%
+3.7 pts
2,814 call OI · 2,316 put OI · bias +9.7
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
13 Oct · 4h
$327.54 → $327.54
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $310 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about HLT
Not enough tape history on HLT for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our HLT record what it is? What’s the $310 wall?