HON Honeywell International Inc
$206.60 · −0.06% vs $206.72 close · scored 14:42 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 61/100
What changed
The read is broadly unchanged.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 61/100
For the read
open interest agrees with the read · signal has been stable
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+27.9 composite┆ +28.6 yesterday (−0.7) −5.8 vs a week ago
Evidence
61 / 100 · top 35% today
1,628 contracts · quality 86 · stability 0.84
has paid +31.94% · n=11,250
What traded today · weight 62%
+2.3 pts
844 calls · 51.8% 784 puts
bias +3.7 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+25.6 pts
25,358 call OI · 83.7% 4,937 put OI
bias +67.4 × 0.38
Equals
+27.9
8% of the score comes from today’s volume, 92% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −1.38% · tape +14.1 · corr 0.66
● peak +59 ▼ low +26.5 ◆ −31.6 in a day 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $218 $207 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 1.38% while the tape has firmed 14.1 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 61 (65th pct) · quality 86 · 1,628 contracts
pass Stable 0.84 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 61
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bullish · balanced · low liquidity → +31.94% avg, n=11,250
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led HON’s tape by 1 day (r=0.37, n=43)
note Our record on HON is mixed 39% hit rate on 415 closed calls · payoff 1.21×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $206.60 highlighted. The $240 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 8,480). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
9 Oct · 4h
$206.60 → $206.60
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$206.72 → $206.60
−0.06% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$206.60 → $206.72
+0.06% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$206.60 → $206.72
+0.06% hit
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 168 of these 415 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 7.59 · fwd 22.37 Beta 0.909
52w $196.98–$496.36 IV rank —
Ask about HON answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +43 to +28 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +52.5 on 6 Oct, then fell to +28.0 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $213.28 to $212.87. It’s at +27.9 now.+2.3 from volume and +25.6 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 14:42 method · 62/38
Compare with MMM Why is our HON record what it is? What’s the $240 wall?
What our data projects
−0.05 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#302 of 635 · helped by quality, price momentum (5 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $240 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Honeywell International Inc · Industrial Conglomerates
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+27.9 ┆ +28.6 yday evidence
has paid +31.94% · n=11,250
Why it’s +28
+2.3 volume · 52% calls+25.6 OI · 84% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −31.6 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $218 $207 Price −1.38%, tape +14.1 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 61 (65th pct) · quality 86 · 1,628 contracts
pass Stable 0.84 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 61
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led HON’s tape by 1 day (r=0.37, n=43)
note Our record on HON is mixed 39% hit rate on 415 closed calls · payoff 1.21×
What traded today · 62%
+2.3 pts
844 calls · 784 puts · bias +3.7
What’s on the books · 38%
+25.6 pts
25,358 call OI · 4,937 put OI · bias +67.4
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −1.38% · tape +14.1 · corr 0.66
● peak +59 ▼ low +26.5 ◆ −31.6 in a day 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $218 $207 Over 30 days, price has fallen 1.38% while the tape has firmed 14.1 points. The two are drifting apart.
39% hit rate · 415 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$206.60 → $206.60
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$206.72 → $206.60
−0.06% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$206.60 → $206.72
+0.06% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$206.60 → $206.72
+0.06% hit
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $240 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about HON
Why did the score drop from +43 to +28 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +52.5 on 6 Oct, then fell to +28.0 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $213.28 to $212.87. It’s at +27.9 now.+2.3 from volume and +25.6 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 14:42 method · 62/38
Compare with MMM Why is our HON record what it is? What’s the $240 wall?