HPQ HP Inc
$32.12 · +0.00% vs $32.12 close · scored 12:41 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 67/100
What changed
Composite weakened 15.8 points.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 67/100
For the read
open interest agrees with the read · signal has been stable
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−26.0 composite┆ −10.2 yesterday (−15.8) +0.0 vs a week ago
Evidence
67 / 100 · top 19% today
9,407 contracts · quality 87 · stability 0.76
not enough history
What traded today · weight 62%
−6.2 pts
4,230 calls · 45.0% 5,177 puts
bias −10.1 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−19.7 pts
34,781 call OI · 24.0% 109,957 put OI
bias −51.9 × 0.38
Equals
−26.0
24% of the score comes from today’s volume, 76% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −1.59% · tape −12.5 · corr 0.21
● peak +46 ▼ low −47.3 ◆ +72.0 in a day 08-29 09-05 09-12 09-20 09-27 10-04 10-11 $35 $31 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 1.59% while the tape has faded 12.5 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 67 (81th pct) · quality 87 · 9,407 contracts
note Jumpy 0.76 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 66
note No calibration for this kind of read yet the matching bucket has too few samples
pass Tape has led price tape has led HPQ’s price by 3 days (r=0.19, n=45)
against Our record on HPQ is poor 24% hit rate on 360 closed calls · payoff 0.71×
04
Where the positions sit No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
Spot $32.12. The $24 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 24,631). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
4 Oct · 4h
$32.12 → $32.12
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$32.27 → $32.27
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$32.15 → $32.15
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$32.04 → $32.04
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 145 of these 360 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Mixed Next report —
P/E 11.82 · fwd 10.07 Beta 1.232
52w $17.56–$36.23 IV rank —
Ask about HPQ answers from FlowDesk data only
You
What is behind today’s −26.0?
FlowDesk
The composite has held within 0.5 points of −26.0 across the last 8 sessions.−6.2 from volume and −19.7 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 46 pts stock_scores · 12:41 method · 62/38
Compare with ORCL Why is our HPQ record what it is? What’s the $24 wall?
What our data projects
+0.18 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#191 of 724 · helped by quality, tape composite, confidence. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $24 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
HP Inc · Technology
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−26.0 ┆ −10.2 yday evidence
not enough history
Why it’s −26
−6.2 volume · 45% calls−19.7 OI · 24% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +72.0 08-29 09-05 09-12 09-20 09-27 10-04 10-11 $35 $31 Price −1.59%, tape −12.5 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 67 (81th pct) · quality 87 · 9,407 contracts
note Jumpy 0.76 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 66
note No calibration for this kind of read yet the matching bucket has too few samples
against Our record on HPQ is poor 24% hit rate on 360 closed calls · payoff 0.71×
What traded today · 62%
−6.2 pts
4,230 calls · 5,177 puts · bias −10.1
What’s on the books · 38%
−19.7 pts
34,781 call OI · 109,957 put OI · bias −51.9
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −1.59% · tape −12.5 · corr 0.21
● peak +46 ▼ low −47.3 ◆ +72.0 in a day 08-29 09-05 09-12 09-20 09-27 10-04 10-11 $35 $31 Over 30 days, price has fallen 1.59% while the tape has faded 12.5 points. They agree.
No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
24% hit rate · 360 closed
4 Oct · 4h
$32.12 → $32.12
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$32.27 → $32.27
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$32.15 → $32.15
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$32.04 → $32.04
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $24 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about HPQ
What is behind today’s −26.0?
The composite has held within 0.5 points of −26.0 across the last 8 sessions.−6.2 from volume and −19.7 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 46 pts stock_scores · 12:41 method · 62/38
Compare with ORCL Why is our HPQ record what it is? What’s the $24 wall?