INTC Intel Corp
$113.12 · +6.51% vs $106.21 close · scored 07:49 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 83/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 83/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, well evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+32.7 composite+18.3 vs a week ago
Evidence
83 / 100 · top 3% today
788,009 contracts · quality 85 · stability 0.00
has paid +1.17% · n=12,971
What traded today · weight 62%
+22.1 pts
534,495 calls · 67.8% 253,514 puts
bias +35.7 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+10.6 pts
949,241 call OI · 63.9% 536,341 put OI
bias +27.8 × 0.38
Equals
+32.7
68% of the score comes from today’s volume, 32% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −1.45% · tape +22.1 · corr -0.11
▼ low +10.2 ● peak +40 ◆ +18.6 in a day 08-28 09-04 09-11 09-19 09-26 10-03 10-10 $130 $89 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 1.45% while the tape has firmed 22.1 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 83 (97th pct) · quality 85 · 788,009 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · high liquidity → +1.17% avg, n=12,971
pass Tape has led price tape has led INTC’s price by 3 days (r=-0.33, n=46)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
note Our record on INTC is mixed 39% hit rate on 540 closed calls · payoff 3.57×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $113.12 highlighted. The $130 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 121,890). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on INTC Proof
10 Oct · 4h
$113.12 → $113.12
+0.00% flat
10 Oct · 4h
$104.70 → $113.12
+8.04% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$104.70 → $104.70
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$113.12 → $104.70
−7.44% miss
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 233 of these 540 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Mixed Next report —
P/E — · fwd 63.02 Beta 2.339
52w $32.89–$142.35 IV rank —
Ask about INTC answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from +14 to +33 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +14.4 on 7 Oct, then rose to +33.0 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $119.27 to $113.12. It’s at +32.7 now. Today’s +32.7 breaks down as +22.1 from volume and +10.6 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 47 pts stock_scores · 07:49 method · 62/38
Compare with AVGO Why is our INTC record what it is? What’s the $130 wall?
What our data projects
+0.73 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#30 of 635 · helped by confidence, price momentum (5 days), volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How
Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $130 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Intel Corp · Semiconductors
Strongly bullish, well evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+32.7 evidence 83
has paid +1.17% · n=12,971
Why it’s +33
+22.1 volume · 68% calls+10.6 OI · 64% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +18.6 08-28 09-04 09-11 09-19 09-26 10-03 10-10 $130 $89
Price −1.45%, tape +22.1 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 83 (97th pct) · quality 85 · 788,009 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
note Our record on INTC is mixed 39% hit rate on 540 closed calls · payoff 3.57×
What traded today · 62%
+22.1 pts
534,495 calls · 253,514 puts · bias +35.7
What’s on the books · 38%
+10.6 pts
949,241 call OI · 536,341 put OI · bias +27.8
tape composite (bars)— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −1.45% · tape +22.1 · corr -0.11
▼ low +10.2 ● peak +40 ◆ +18.6 in a day 08-28 09-04 09-11 09-19 09-26 10-03 10-10 $130 $89 Over 30 days, price has fallen 1.45% while the tape has firmed 22.1 points. The two are drifting apart.
39% hit rate · 540 closed
10 Oct · 4h
$113.12 → $113.12
+0.00% flat
10 Oct · 4h
$104.70 → $113.12
+8.04% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$104.70 → $104.70
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$113.12 → $104.70
−7.44% miss
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $130 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about INTC
Why did the score rise from +14 to +33 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +14.4 on 7 Oct, then rose to +33.0 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $119.27 to $113.12. It’s at +32.7 now. Today’s +32.7 breaks down as +22.1 from volume and +10.6 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 47 pts stock_scores · 07:49 method · 62/38
Compare with AVGO Why is our INTC record what it is? What’s the $130 wall?