INTU Intuit Inc
$306.81 · +0.96% vs $303.88 close · scored 15:45 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 63/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 63/100
For the read
No strong confirming evidence isolated.
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Neutral, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+5.7 composite+1.5 vs a week ago
Evidence
63 / 100 · top 30% today
12,835 contracts · quality 80 · stability 0.00
neutral · −0.51% · n=4,671
What traded today · weight 62%
+5.2 pts
6,958 calls · 54.2% 5,877 puts
bias +8.4 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+0.5 pts
26,711 call OI · 50.6% 26,040 put OI
bias +1.3 × 0.38
Equals
+5.7
92% of the score comes from today’s volume, 8% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −4.72% · tape −2.6 · corr 0.40
▼ low −29.3 ● peak +55 ◆ −61.7 in a day 08-19 08-27 09-04 09-12 09-21 09-29 10-07 10-09 $370 $270 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 4.72% while the tape has barely moved (−2.6). They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 63 (70th pct) · quality 80 · 12,835 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 55
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · mid liquidity → −0.51% avg, n=4,671
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led INTU’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.23, n=50)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on INTU is poor 29% hit rate on 688 closed calls · payoff 1.37×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $306.81 highlighted. The $290 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 3,027). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on INTU Proof 9 Oct · 4h
$306.81 → $306.81
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$303.88 → $306.81
+0.96% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$303.88 → $306.81
+0.96% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$303.88 → $306.81
+0.96% hit
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 331 of these 688 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report 25 Aug AMC
P/E 16.73 · fwd 12.15 Beta 0.967
52w $252.84–$689.17 IV rank —
Ask about INTU answers from FlowDesk data only
You
What is behind today’s +5.7?
FlowDesk
The composite has held within 1.5 points of +5.7 across the last 8 sessions.+5.2 from volume and +0.5 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 51 pts stock_scores · 15:45 method · 62/38
Compare with ORCL Why is our INTU record what it is? What’s the $290 wall?
What our data projects
−0.21 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#419 of 635 · helped by tape composite, volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $290 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Intuit Inc · Technology
Neutral, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+5.7 evidence
neutral · −0.51% · n=4,671
Why it’s +6
+5.2 volume · 54% calls+0.5 OI · 51% calls
51 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −61.7 08-19 08-27 09-04 09-12 09-21 09-29 10-07 10-09 $370 $270 Price −4.72%, tape −2.6 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 63 (70th pct) · quality 80 · 12,835 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 55
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · mid liquidity → −0.51% avg, n=4,671
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led INTU’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.23, n=50)
What traded today · 62%
+5.2 pts
6,958 calls · 5,877 puts · bias +8.4
What’s on the books · 38%
+0.5 pts
26,711 call OI · 26,040 put OI · bias +1.3
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −4.72% · tape −2.6 · corr 0.40
▼ low −29.3 ● peak +55 ◆ −61.7 in a day 08-19 08-27 09-04 09-12 09-21 09-29 10-07 10-09 $370 $270 Over 30 days, price has fallen 4.72% while the tape has barely moved (−2.6). They agree.
29% hit rate · 688 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$306.81 → $306.81
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$303.88 → $306.81
+0.96% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$303.88 → $306.81
+0.96% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$303.88 → $306.81
+0.96% hit
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $290 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about INTU
What is behind today’s +5.7?
The composite has held within 1.5 points of +5.7 across the last 8 sessions.+5.2 from volume and +0.5 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 51 pts stock_scores · 15:45 method · 62/38
Compare with ORCL Why is our INTU record what it is? What’s the $290 wall?