ITW has the strongest read; CAT has the most behind it.
One lean bullish, one bearish. The difference is evidence and record: CAT’s read rests on 7,596 contracts but our 4h record on it is 6%; ITW’s bucket hasn’t paid historically.
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02
Tape, 43 days, same axis
ITWCATXYLtape_history · hourly, daily close shown
| The read | Strongly bullish | Neutral | Strongly bearish |
| −100 · 0 · +100 | |||
| Composite | +82.0 | −2.0 | −55.9 |
| Evidence | 67 | 72 | 59 |
| Quality | 78 | 89 | 78 |
| Price | $262.42 | $797.82 | $101.99 |
| Contracts today | 5,495 | 7,596 | 3,315 |
| Calibration | hasn’t paid −1.64% · n=25,061 | neutral · −0.51% · n=4,671 | hasn’t paid +0.10% · n=21,921 |
| 30d tape (ink) vs price (dashed) | |||
| Our record here, 4h | 27% of 384 checked | 6% of 2,000 checked | 5% of 281 checked |
All values from the same rows as each stock page (stock_scores, tape_history, score_outcomes, tape calibration). Compare keeps the stock-page glyphs so nothing needs relearning.