ITW has the strongest read; CAT has the most behind it.
Two lean bullish, no bearish. The difference is evidence and record: CAT’s read rests on 7,596 contracts but our 4h record on it is 6%; ITW’s bucket hasn’t paid historically.
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| The read | Strongly bullish | Strongly bullish | Neutral |
| −100 · 0 · +100 | |||
| Composite | +82.0 | +32.8 | −2.0 |
| Evidence | 67 | 58 | 72 |
| Quality | 78 | 83 | 89 |
| Price | $262.42 | $527.07 | $797.82 |
| Contracts today | 5,495 | 1,281 | 7,596 |
| Calibration | hasn’t paid −1.64% · n=25,061 | hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310 | neutral · −0.51% · n=4,671 |
| 30d tape (ink) vs price (dashed) | |||
| Our record here, 4h | 27% of 384 checked | 20% of 371 checked | 6% of 2,000 checked |
02
Tape, 43 days, same axis
ITWCMICATtape_history · hourly, daily close shown
All values from the same rows as each stock page (stock_scores, tape_history, score_outcomes, tape calibration). Compare keeps the stock-page glyphs so nothing needs relearning.