KEEL Keel Infrastructure Corp
$3.15 · −0.32% vs $3.16 close · scored 14:42 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 70/100
What changed
The read is broadly unchanged.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 70/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read · signal has been stable · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Strongly bullish, well evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+48.0 composite┆ +48.0 yesterday (+0.0) −32.5 vs a week ago
Evidence
70 / 100 · top 14% today
6,514 contracts · quality 90 · stability 0.87
hasn’t paid −1.64% · n=25,061
What traded today · weight 62%
+27.7 pts
4,712 calls · 72.3% 1,802 puts
bias +44.7 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+20.3 pts
63,484 call OI · 76.7% 19,247 put OI
bias +53.5 × 0.38
Equals
+48.0
58% of the score comes from today’s volume, 42% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −15.48% · tape −0.8 · corr -0.27
● peak +80 ▼ low +15.5 ◆ −65.0 in a day 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $4 $3 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 15.48% while the tape has barely moved (−0.8). They agree.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 70 (86th pct) · quality 90 · 6,514 contracts
pass Stable 0.87 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 47
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.64% avg, n=25,061
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led KEEL’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.35, n=50)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on KEEL is poor 13% hit rate on 2000 closed calls · payoff 5.37×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $3.15 highlighted. The $4 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 37,212). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on KEEL Proof 13%
hit rate · 2000 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$3.15 → $3.15
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$3.15 → $3.15
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$3.15 → $3.15
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$3.22 → $3.15
−2.16% miss
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1597 of these 2000 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E — Beta 2.719
52w $2.00–$7.37 IV rank —
Ask about KEEL answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +80 to +48 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +80.5 on 2 Oct, then fell to +15.5 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $3.44 to $3.62. It’s at +48.0 now.+27.7 from volume and +20.3 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 51 pts stock_scores · 14:42 method · 62/38
Compare with ORCL Why is our KEEL record what it is? What’s the $4 wall?
What our data projects
+0.82 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#21 of 635 · helped by quality, price momentum (5 days), volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $4 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Keel Infrastructure Corp · Technology
Strongly bullish, well evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+48.0 ┆ +48.0 yday evidence
hasn’t paid −1.64% · n=25,061
Why it’s +48
+27.7 volume · 72% calls+20.3 OI · 77% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −65.0 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $4 $3 Price −15.48%, tape −0.8 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 70 (86th pct) · quality 90 · 6,514 contracts
pass Stable 0.87 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 47
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.64% avg, n=25,061
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led KEEL’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.35, n=50)
What traded today · 62%
+27.7 pts
4,712 calls · 1,802 puts · bias +44.7
What’s on the books · 38%
+20.3 pts
63,484 call OI · 19,247 put OI · bias +53.5
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −15.48% · tape −0.8 · corr -0.27
● peak +80 ▼ low +15.5 ◆ −65.0 in a day 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $4 $3 Over 30 days, price has fallen 15.48% while the tape has barely moved (−0.8). They agree.
13% hit rate · 2000 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$3.15 → $3.15
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$3.15 → $3.15
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$3.15 → $3.15
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$3.22 → $3.15
−2.16% miss
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $4 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about KEEL
Why did the score drop from +80 to +48 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +80.5 on 2 Oct, then fell to +15.5 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $3.44 to $3.62. It’s at +48.0 now.+27.7 from volume and +20.3 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 51 pts stock_scores · 14:42 method · 62/38
Compare with ORCL Why is our KEEL record what it is? What’s the $4 wall?