LTRX Lantronix Inc
$6.83 · −6.82% vs $7.33 close · scored 23:23 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 67/100
What changed
Composite strengthened 26.0 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 67/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read · signal has been stable
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+84.1 composite┆ +58.1 yesterday (+26.0) −12.8 vs a week ago
Evidence
67 / 100 · top 19% today
791 contracts · quality 58 · stability 0.89
has paid +0.01% · n=91,227
What traded today · weight 62%
+49.3 pts
710 calls · 89.8% 81 puts
bias +79.5 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+34.8 pts
4,737 call OI · 95.8% 207 put OI
bias +91.6 × 0.38
Equals
+84.1
59% of the score comes from today’s volume, 41% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +39.35% · tape +7.4 · corr 0.29
▼ low +10.4 ◆ +85.0 in a day ● peak +97 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-24 10-01 10-08 $7 $5 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has risen 39.35% while the tape has firmed 7.4 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 67 (81th pct) · quality 58 · 791 contracts
pass Stable 0.89 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → +0.01% avg, n=91,227
pass Tape has led price tape has led LTRX’s price by 3 days (r=0.37, n=43)
against Our record on LTRX is poor 34% hit rate on 333 closed calls · payoff 0.48×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $6.83 highlighted. The $7.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 2,022). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on LTRX Proof
8 Oct · 4h
$6.83 → $6.83
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$7.22 → $7.22
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$7.03 → $7.03
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$7.20 → $7.20
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 156 of these 333 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E — · fwd 25.31 Beta 1.311
52w $4.37–$8.75 IV rank —
Ask about LTRX answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +97 to +84 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +95.2 on 2 Oct, then fell to +58.1 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $7.20 to $7.22. It’s at +84.1 now. Today’s +84.1 breaks down as +49.3 from volume and +34.8 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 23:23 method · 62/38
Compare with VSAT Why is our LTRX record what it is? What’s the $7.5 wall?
What our data projects
+0.80 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#23 of 724 · helped by call/put volume tilt, price momentum (5 days), volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How
Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $7.5 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Lantronix Inc · Communications
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+84.1 ┆ +58.1 yday evidence 67
has paid +0.01% · n=91,227
Why it’s +84
+49.3 volume · 90% calls+34.8 OI · 96% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +85.0 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-24 10-01 10-08 $7 $5
Price +39.35%, tape +7.4 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 67 (81th pct) · quality 58 · 791 contracts
pass Stable 0.89 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against Our record on LTRX is poor 34% hit rate on 333 closed calls · payoff 0.48×
What traded today · 62%
+49.3 pts
710 calls · 81 puts · bias +79.5
What’s on the books · 38%
+34.8 pts
4,737 call OI · 207 put OI · bias +91.6
tape composite (bars)— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +39.35% · tape +7.4 · corr 0.29
▼ low +10.4 ◆ +85.0 in a day ● peak +97 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-24 10-01 10-08 $7 $5 Over 30 days, price has risen 39.35% while the tape has firmed 7.4 points. They agree.
34% hit rate · 333 closed
8 Oct · 4h
$6.83 → $6.83
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$7.22 → $7.22
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$7.03 → $7.03
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$7.20 → $7.20
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $7.5 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about LTRX
Why did the score drop from +97 to +84 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +95.2 on 2 Oct, then fell to +58.1 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $7.20 to $7.22. It’s at +84.1 now. Today’s +84.1 breaks down as +49.3 from volume and +34.8 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 23:23 method · 62/38
Compare with VSAT Why is our LTRX record what it is? What’s the $7.5 wall?