MAA Mid-America Apartment Communities Inc
$116.47 · +0.00% vs $116.47 close · scored 10:32 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 56/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 56/100
For the read
options volume favours puts · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced , but price is moving the other way.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−32.9 composite+0.0 vs a week ago
Evidence
56 / 100 · top 47% today
823 contracts · quality 76 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid +0.10% · n=21,921
What traded today · weight 62%
−16.5 pts
302 calls · 36.7% 521 puts
bias −26.6 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−16.4 pts
2,192 call OI · 28.4% 5,537 put OI
bias −43.3 × 0.38
Equals
−32.9
50% of the score comes from today’s volume, 50% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −9.23% · tape +20.4 · corr -0.47
● peak +3 ◆ +55.3 in a day ▼ low −68.9 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-22 09-29 10-06 10-10 $132 $115 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 9.23% while the tape has firmed 20.4 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 56 (53th pct) · quality 76 · 823 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → +0.10% avg, n=21,921
note No reliable lead enough history exists, but no tape/price lead clears the reliability threshold (r=0.00, n=45)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on MAA is poor 8% hit rate on 349 closed calls · payoff 0.70×
04
Where the positions sit No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
Spot $116.47. The $120 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 1,148).
3 Oct · 4h
$115.33 → $115.33
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$116.91 → $116.91
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$116.38 → $116.38
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$116.83 → $116.83
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 263 of these 349 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Mixed Next report —
P/E 33.17 · fwd 35.96 Beta 0.710
52w $114.47–$144.41 IV rank —
Ask about MAA answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from −43 to −33 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was −43.3 on 2 Oct, then rose to −32.9 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $116.38 to $115.33. It’s at −32.9 now.−16.5 from volume and −16.4 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 46 pts stock_scores · 10:32 method · 62/38
Compare with OPEN Why is our MAA record what it is? What’s the $120 wall?
What our data projects
−0.69 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#620 of 635 · helped by tape composite. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $120 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Mid-America Apartment Communities Inc · Real Estate
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced . Price is moving the other way.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−32.9 evidence
hasn’t paid +0.10% · n=21,921
Why it’s −33
−16.5 volume · 37% calls−16.4 OI · 28% calls
46 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +55.3 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-22 09-29 10-06 10-10 $132 $115 Price −9.23%, tape +20.4 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 56 (53th pct) · quality 76 · 823 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → +0.10% avg, n=21,921
note No reliable lead enough history exists, but no tape/price lead clears the reliability threshold (r=0.00, n=45)
What traded today · 62%
−16.5 pts
302 calls · 521 puts · bias −26.6
What’s on the books · 38%
−16.4 pts
2,192 call OI · 5,537 put OI · bias −43.3
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −9.23% · tape +20.4 · corr -0.47
● peak +3 ◆ +55.3 in a day ▼ low −68.9 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-22 09-29 10-06 10-10 $132 $115 Over 30 days, price has fallen 9.23% while the tape has firmed 20.4 points. The two are drifting apart.
No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
8% hit rate · 349 closed
3 Oct · 4h
$115.33 → $115.33
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$116.91 → $116.91
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$116.38 → $116.38
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$116.83 → $116.83
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $120 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about MAA
Why did the score rise from −43 to −33 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was −43.3 on 2 Oct, then rose to −32.9 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $116.38 to $115.33. It’s at −32.9 now.−16.5 from volume and −16.4 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 46 pts stock_scores · 10:32 method · 62/38
Compare with OPEN Why is our MAA record what it is? What’s the $120 wall?