MAR MAR
$388.05 · scored 08:44 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 49/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 49/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Mildly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+23.0 composite
Evidence
49 / 100 · top 50% today
514 contracts · quality 75 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.03% · n=8,682
What traded today · weight 62%
+9.2 pts
295 calls · 57.4% 219 puts
bias +14.8 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+13.8 pts
1,243 call OI · 68.1% 581 put OI
bias +36.3 × 0.38
Equals
+23.0
40% of the score comes from today’s volume, 60% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring MAR today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 49 (50th pct) · quality 75 · 514 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · balanced · low liquidity → −0.03% avg, n=8,682
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on MAR
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $388.05 highlighted. The $395 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 214). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
We haven’t checked a call on MAR yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
MAR
Mildly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+23.0 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.03% · n=8,682
Why it’s +23
+9.2 volume · 57% calls+13.8 OI · 68% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 49 (50th pct) · quality 75 · 514 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · balanced · low liquidity → −0.03% avg, n=8,682
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on MAR
What traded today · 62%
+9.2 pts
295 calls · 219 puts · bias +14.8
What’s on the books · 38%
+13.8 pts
1,243 call OI · 581 put OI · bias +36.3
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $395 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about MAR
Not enough tape history on MAR for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our MAR record what it is? What’s the $395 wall?