MBLY
MBLY
$7.15 · scored 05:35 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 41/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 41/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak
The read
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+43.6 composite
Evidence
41 / 100 · top 80% today
1,928 contracts · quality 71 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.59% · n=219,620
What traded today · weight 62%
+27.0 pts
1,384 calls · 71.8%544 puts
bias +43.6 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
No open interest stored for today’s chain.
Equals
+43.6
100% of the score comes from today’s volume, 0% from open interest. Smoothing and calibration add +16.6. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring MBLY today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidenceconfidence 41 (20th pct) · quality 71 · 1,928 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 56
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paidstrongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.59% avg, n=219,620
noteToo few of our calls checked0 closed calls on MBLY
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $7.15 highlighted. The $2 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 0). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05Our record on MBLY
Proof We haven’t checked a call on MBLY yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
Research · never used to score
Tape transformer forecasts live on their own page and have not earned a place in the read. Not enough closed-trade evidence to trust on their own.
MBLY
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+43.6evidence 41
hasn’t paid −0.59% · n=219,620
Why it’s +44
+27.0 volume · 72% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidence
confidence 41 (20th pct) · quality 71 · 1,928 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 56
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paid
strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.59% avg, n=219,620
noteToo few of our calls checked
0 closed calls on MBLY
What traded today · 62%
+27.0 pts
1,384 calls · 544 puts · bias +43.6
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bearishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $2 wallprice · below
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about MBLY
Not enough tape history on MBLY for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.