MDT Medtronic PLC
$87.40 · +0.00% vs $87.40 close · scored 10:50 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 71/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 71/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, well evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+31.1 composite+0.0 vs a week ago
Evidence
71 / 100 · top 13% today
13,642 contracts · quality 81 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −1.64% · n=25,061
What traded today · weight 62%
+12.7 pts
8,219 calls · 60.2% 5,423 puts
bias +20.5 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+18.4 pts
116,488 call OI · 74.2% 40,464 put OI
bias +48.4 × 0.38
Equals
+31.1
41% of the score comes from today’s volume, 59% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −7.19% · tape −6.7 · corr -0.23
◆ +59.5 in a day ▼ low −1.8 ● peak +66 08-26 09-02 09-09 09-16 09-24 10-01 10-10 $94 $86 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 7.19% while the tape has faded 6.7 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 71 (87th pct) · quality 81 · 13,642 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.64% avg, n=25,061
pass Tape has led price tape has led MDT’s price by 1 day (r=-0.30, n=49)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
pass Our record on MDT is good 59% hit rate on 1040 closed calls · payoff 2.25×
04
Where the positions sit No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
Spot $87.40. The $90 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 27,132). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
59%
hit rate · 1040 closed
2 Oct · 4h
$87.40 → $87.40
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$86.44 → $86.44
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$86.44 → $86.44
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$85.86 → $85.86
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 304 of these 1040 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 21.46 · fwd 14.78 Beta 0.595
52w $73.31–$106.33 IV rank —
Ask about MDT answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +66 to +31 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +65.9 on 1 Oct, then fell to +31.1 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $86.29 to $86.44. It’s at +31.1 now.+12.7 from volume and +18.4 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 50 pts stock_scores · 10:50 method · 62/38
Compare with NEOG Why is our MDT record what it is? What’s the $90 wall?
What our data projects
−0.22 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#425 of 635 · helped by quality, confidence. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $90 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Medtronic PLC · Health Care
Strongly bullish, well evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+31.1 evidence
hasn’t paid −1.64% · n=25,061
Why it’s +31
+12.7 volume · 60% calls+18.4 OI · 74% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +59.5 08-26 09-02 09-09 09-16 09-24 10-01 10-10 $94 $86 Price −7.19%, tape −6.7 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 71 (87th pct) · quality 81 · 13,642 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.64% avg, n=25,061
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
What traded today · 62%
+12.7 pts
8,219 calls · 5,423 puts · bias +20.5
What’s on the books · 38%
+18.4 pts
116,488 call OI · 40,464 put OI · bias +48.4
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −7.19% · tape −6.7 · corr -0.23
◆ +59.5 in a day ▼ low −1.8 ● peak +66 08-26 09-02 09-09 09-16 09-24 10-01 10-10 $94 $86 Over 30 days, price has fallen 7.19% while the tape has faded 6.7 points. They agree.
No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
59% hit rate · 1040 closed
2 Oct · 4h
$87.40 → $87.40
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$86.44 → $86.44
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$86.44 → $86.44
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$85.86 → $85.86
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $90 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about MDT
Why did the score drop from +66 to +31 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +65.9 on 1 Oct, then fell to +31.1 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $86.29 to $86.44. It’s at +31.1 now.+12.7 from volume and +18.4 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 50 pts stock_scores · 10:50 method · 62/38
Compare with NEOG Why is our MDT record what it is? What’s the $90 wall?