MGPI MGPI
$14.60 · scored 08:01 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 46/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 46/100
For the read
options volume favours puts
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−34.5 composite
Evidence
46 / 100 · top 61% today
2,168 contracts · quality 51 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.25% · n=15,572
What traded today · weight 62%
−56.5 pts
96 calls · 4.4% 2,072 puts
bias −91.1 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+22.0 pts
15 call OI · 78.9% 4 put OI
bias +57.9 × 0.38
Equals
−34.5
72% of the score comes from today’s volume, 28% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring MGPI today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 46 (39th pct) · quality 51 · 2,168 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 53
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −0.25% avg, n=15,572
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on MGPI
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $14.60 highlighted. The $22.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 15). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on MGPI Proof We haven’t checked a call on MGPI yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
MGPI
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−34.5 evidence
has paid −0.25% · n=15,572
Why it’s −35
−56.5 volume · 4% calls+22.0 OI · 79% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 46 (39th pct) · quality 51 · 2,168 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 53
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on MGPI
What traded today · 62%
−56.5 pts
96 calls · 2,072 puts · bias −91.1
What’s on the books · 38%
+22.0 pts
15 call OI · 4 put OI · bias +57.9
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $22.5 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about MGPI
Not enough tape history on MGPI for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our MGPI record what it is? What’s the $22.5 wall?