MKTX
MKTX
$164.03 · scored 05:40 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 42/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 42/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak
The read
Mildly bullish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+14.4 composite
Evidence
42 / 100 · top 83% today
427 contracts · quality 74 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −1.12% · n=34,773
What traded today · weight 62%
+33.8 pts
330 calls · 77.3%97 puts
bias +54.6 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−19.4 pts
118 call OI · 24.5%364 put OI
bias −51.0 × 0.38
Equals
+14.4
64% of the score comes from today’s volume, 36% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring MKTX today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidenceconfidence 42 (17th pct) · quality 74 · 427 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paidmildly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −1.12% avg, n=34,773
noteToo few of our calls checked1 closed call on MKTX
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $164.03 highlighted. The $115 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 120). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05Our record on MKTX
Proof
7 Oct · 4h
$164.03 → $164.03
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
Research · never used to score
Tape transformer forecasts live on their own page and have not earned a place in the read. Not enough closed-trade evidence to trust on their own.
MKTX
Mildly bullish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+14.4evidence 42
hasn’t paid −1.12% · n=34,773
Why it’s +14
+33.8 volume · 77% calls−19.4 OI · 24% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidence
confidence 42 (17th pct) · quality 74 · 427 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paid
mildly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −1.12% avg, n=34,773
noteToo few of our calls checked
1 closed call on MKTX
What traded today · 62%
+33.8 pts
330 calls · 97 puts · bias +54.6
What’s on the books · 38%
−19.4 pts
118 call OI · 364 put OI · bias −51.0
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
7 Oct · 4h
$164.03 → $164.03
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bearishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $115 wallprice · below
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about MKTX
Not enough tape history on MKTX for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.